Saturday 4 April 2020

Time For Radical Reform

It says something when an Editorial in the FT makes it clear that things not only have to change post-pandemic, they have to get better. If we are indeed engaged in a war, and as famously stated, 'war is the locomotive of history', then now is the time for dreaming, thinking and planning for a new social contract. Lets hope that on the day we find out who the next labour leader will be, they're up to the challenge. From the FT yesterday:-  

Virus lays bare the frailty of the social contract

Radical reforms are required to forge a society that will work for all

If there is a silver lining to the Covid-19 pandemic, it is that it has injected a sense of togetherness into polarised societies. But the virus, and the economic lockdowns needed to combat it, also shine a glaring light on existing inequalities — and even create new ones. Beyond defeating the disease, the great test all countries will soon face is whether current feelings of common purpose will shape society after the crisis. As western leaders learnt in the Great Depression, and after the second world war, to demand collective sacrifice you must offer a social contract that benefits everyone. 

Today’s crisis is laying bare how far many rich societies fall short of this ideal. Much as the struggle to contain the pandemic has exposed the unpreparedness of health systems, so the brittleness of many countries’ economies has been exposed, as governments scramble to stave off mass bankruptcies and cope with mass unemployment. Despite inspirational calls for national mobilisation, we are not really all in this together. 

The economic lockdowns are imposing the greatest cost on those already worst off. Overnight millions of jobs and livelihoods have been lost in hospitality, leisure and related sectors, while better paid knowledge workers often face only the nuisance of working from home. Worse, those in low-wage jobs who can still work are often risking their lives — as carers and healthcare support workers, but also as shelf stackers, delivery drivers and cleaners. Governments’ extraordinary budget support for the economy, while necessary, will in some ways make matters worse. Countries that have allowed the emergence of an irregular and precarious labour market are finding it particularly hard to channel financial help to workers with such insecure employment. Meanwhile, vast monetary loosening by central banks will help the asset-rich. Behind it all, underfunded public services are creaking under the burden of applying crisis policies.

The way we wage war on the virus benefits some at the expense of others. The victims of Covid-19 are overwhelmingly the old. But the biggest victims of the lockdowns are the young and active, who are asked to suspend their education and forgo precious income. Sacrifices are inevitable, but every society must demonstrate how it will offer restitution to those who bear the heaviest burden of national efforts. 

Radical reforms — reversing the prevailing policy direction of the last four decades — will need to be put on the table. Governments will have to accept a more active role in the economy. They must see public services as investments rather than liabilities, and look for ways to make labour markets less insecure. Redistribution will again be on the agenda; the privileges of the elderly and wealthy in question. Policies until recently considered eccentric, such as basic income and wealth taxes, will have to be in the mix. 

The taboo-breaking measures governments are taking to sustain businesses and incomes during the lockdown are rightly compared to the sort of wartime economy western countries have not experienced for seven decades. The analogy goes still further. 

The leaders who won the war did not wait for victory to plan for what would follow. Franklin D Roosevelt and Winston Churchill issued the Atlantic Charter, setting the course for the United Nations, in 1941. The UK published the Beveridge Report, its commitment to a universal welfare state, in 1942. In 1944, the Bretton Woods conference forged the postwar financial architecture. That same kind of foresight is needed today. Beyond the public health war, true leaders will mobilise now to win the peace.

--oo00oo--

This from the Guardian last weekend:-

Amid our fear, we’re rediscovering utopian hopes of a connected world

If this is the worst of times, it is also the best of times. In our anxiety we are drawing deep reserves of strength from others. In our isolation we are rediscovering community. In our confusion we are rethinking whom we trust. In our fragmentation we are rediscovering the value of institutions. To each their own narrative or metaphor. If this feels like the blitz spirit to you, all well and good. Others find it helps to imagine a world recast through virtual networks.

But what it amounts to is this: there is such a thing as society and we are all interdependent. And if it sometimes takes a grave crisis to remind ourselves of these truths, then this moment may well be historic for the possibilities of hope as well as for all the tragedy and turmoil.

Nearly 200 years ago, the French political theorist Alexis de Tocqueville wrote about the power we have been re-experiencing over the past few weeks: “In democratic countries knowledge of how to combine is the mother of all other forms of knowledge; on its progress depends that of all the others.” At least three forms of combination have blossomed in the present crisis: the NHS, the BBC and the internet itself.

It is difficult to see how the NHS will not emerge stronger from this pandemic, however traumatic and stressful the coming months will be. We get the service we pay for. It would take an unusually obtuse future government to be blind to the signals sent by three quarters of a million volunteers or the echoing applause of people across the nation in the past few days.

The BBC is having its moment, too. Only a month ago it seemed on the ropes – the bizarre target of the obsessional figure who sits at the prime minister’s right hand. Dominic Cummings had long nursed a loathing for the corporation, with his thinktank willing its demise more than 15 years ago. The aim was to replace it with a “Fox News equivalent”, along with talk-radio shows and bloggers “to shift the centre of gravity”.

Today such aspirations look like lunacy, as they did even then. Fox News has shown its true colours during the Covid-19 emergency, parroting the wildly erratic line from an increasingly dangerously deluded White House. Fox is these days less a news company than an oligarchically owned state broadcaster.

The BBC, meanwhile, has been doing what it does best: providing reliable and trustworthy information to a huge audience – both broadcast and online, both young and old. On any surveys of trust it towers over other news organisations as well as other institutions in society.

Again, it is difficult to imagine any sane administration wanting to diminish the national, international and local reach of the BBC for the foreseeable future – far less hand over our national spine of communication and conversation to the Murdoch family and a bunch of talk-radio hosts.

Three and a half years ago we’d apparently had enough of experts. They seem to be back. More understandably, many were convinced the original dream of the world wide web was dead and buried. Maybe, today, not so much.

In our self-isolation, many of us have rediscovered some of the things that inspired such cause for hope when the web first demonstrated the power of combination. How many of us have relied on it for friends, food, family, education, health, fitness, worship, ideas, culture, ideas and knowledge over the past week or more?

Think of all the other utopian words that were associated with this new form of self-organisation barely a decade ago. Here are some: generosity, community, participation, sharing, openness, cooperation, sociability, learning, assembling, imagination, creativity, innovation, experimentation, fairness, equality, publicness, citizenship, mutuality, combinability, common resource, information, respect, discourse, conversation, contribution.

All these things seemed within our grasp. And then a kind of darkness stole over that shared space and we gradually began to give up on what, we soon convinced ourselves, had only ever been a lovely dream.

Well, maybe. And of course – unlike the NHS or the BBC – there is a genuine malign aspect to the way in which so many people have twisted the web’s capabilities into an engine of hatred, misinformation and bleakness. That will not wither away: there is a different kind of virality in play there.

But, in the end, the internet simply amplifies who we are. As the New York academic Clay Shirky wrote in his 2010 book, Cognitive Surplus: “Human character is the essential component of our sociable and generous behaviours, even when coordinated with high-tech tools. Interpretations of those behaviours that focus on the technology miss the point: technology enables those behaviours, but it doesn’t cause them.”

Surveys of trust since Covid-19 began to bite show people re-evaluating whom to believe. They, overwhelmingly, trust the NHS and – still – the BBC. They absolutely trust experts. They rely on mainstream news organisations while proclaiming low levels of trust in journalists as a category. They are inclined to trust their own employer – but not as much as they trust “a person like yourself”.

In Shirky’s 10-year-old analysis, trust in the world today is dependent on perceptions of motive. Why is this person telling me this? Is it for money, power or some kind of personal or political advantage? Or is it out of genuine disinterest? A respect for evidence? A feeling, in Shirky’s words, that “by treating one another well (fairly, if not always nicely) we can create environments where the group can do more than the individuals could on their own”.

There will be much stress and sorrow in the months ahead. But a kind of better future feels quite tangible. Love, humanity and combination may yet win.

Alan Rusbridger

Chair of the Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism and is a senior adviser to WATATAWA communications consultancy

34 comments:

  1. Oi you lot thick or something. Johnson's Tories elitists money grabbed secular power groups won't shift anything post pandemic. They will just re align the narrative. Claw back what the country lost and spent on the crisis. Then make the workers pay in further depressed rewards. Continue the ideological attack on public service . They will never develop conscionce nor ever shift to the hated left. They would rather see more dead than adopt and social reform. They are the Tories. We would be better of under the darleks.

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    1. There's a lot of realism in your words. There were similar high hopes following the financial crash, but all we got was austerity and living standards that have not recovered. From the French Revolution to the Arab Spring the forces of counter revolution are always ready to reassert the vested interests. So, like you, I wan't get carried away with the rhetoric.

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    2. 9.23 - you are right, I fear. It's not what I want to happen but reality kicks in and the likes of us are far down the food chain. Just like in the second world war there are always people around looking for the opportunity to make a fortune out of other peoples needs and misery. Many industrial fortunes were made on the back of those opportunities, some of them supporting the current measures by this government.
      Currently, we have no control over the situation. The only possibility is if the electorate wake up to it and vote for what is best for us.

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  2. Danny Shaw BBC:-

    BREAKING The Government is preparing to free up to 3,500 prisoners from jails in England and Wales because of the Coronavirus. Inmates with two months or less to serve will be eligible for release on temporary licence (ROTL).

    Sex offenders & those convicted of violent crimes will be excluded from the early release scheme, the Prison Service says. Sources said ministers did not want to take such action but were concerned local hospitals could be overwhelmed if the virus continues to spread in prisons.

    88 prisoners across 29 jails have tested positive for the virus with a further 1200 believed to be self-isolating. About 8,000 prison staff have been absent due to issues related to Covid-19, around a-quarter of the total workforce in jails.

    I’m told figure of early releases may be closer to 4,000. Prisoners will start to be let out next week. Ministry of Justice says it’s also working to identify publicly owned sites that could be used to house temporary prison accommodation to ease pressure in prisons.

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    1. Richard Ford, Times Home correspondent:-

      Decision comes after days of high level discussions between justice ministry and 10 Downing Street with concern about how it will look to the public. Ministry of Justice said decision comes because a serious outbreak in overcrowded jails could overwhelm local hospitals.

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    2. MoJ Press Release:-

      Measures announced to protect NHS from coronavirus risk in prisons

      Risk-assessed prisoners who are within two months of their release date will be temporarily released from jail, as part of the national plan to protect the NHS and save lives.

      * Plan to protect the NHS from further pressure
      * Measures will also benefit brave prison staff
      * Selected low-risk offenders, within weeks of their
      release dates, will be electronically tagged and temporarily released on licence in stages
      * Offenders can be recalled at the first sign of concern
      * Violent and sexual offenders and those of security concern will not be considered

      This action being taken is necessary to avoid thousands of prisoners becoming infected, overwhelming local NHS services. This is due to the close proximity between prisoners, who often share cells.

      Prisoners who pass the stringent criteria for release will be subject to strict conditions, and will be electronically monitored, including with GPS tags, to enforce the requirement to stay at home.

      They can be immediately recalled to prison for breaching these conditions or committing further offences. The releases will be phased over time but can start from next week.

      Public protection is paramount. No high-risk offenders, including those convicted of violent or sexual offences, anyone of national security concern or a danger to children, will be considered for release, nor any prisoners who have not served at least half their custodial term. Additionally, no offender convicted of COVID-19 related offences, including coughing at emergency workers or stealing personal protective equipment, will be eligible.

      No prisoner would be released if they have symptoms of coronavirus or without housing and health support being in place.

      In addition, the Ministry of Justice is working to identify publicly owned sites that could be used to house temporary prison accommodation to ease pressure on the permanent estate, further separate prisoners and reduce the spread of the virus.

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    3. Lord Chancellor and Justice Secretary Robert Buckland QC MP said:

      This Government is committed to ensuring that justice is served to those who break the law. But this is an unprecedented situation because if Coronavirus takes hold in our prisons, the NHS could be overwhelmed and more lives put at risk. All prisoners will face a tough risk assessment and must comply with strict conditions, including an electronic tag, while they are closely monitored. Those that do not will be recalled to prison.

      Some 88 prisoners and 15 staff have tested positive for COVID-19.

      Prison staff have continued to ensure the effective running of our jails despite around 26% being absent or self-isolating. To further protect them and reduce pressure on prisons, the Ministry of Justice is already:

      * Shielding vulnerable prisoners through social distancing measures
      * Re-deploying staff, where appropriate, from headquarters into operational roles
      * Working with the judiciary to expedite sentencing hearings for those on remand to reduce the numbers being held in custody.

      Prisons are moving towards single-cell accommodation as much as possible across the estate – to limit the spread of infection and the number of deaths. This follows public health advice that prisons present a unique environment where rapid outbreaks of the virus could place a significant strain on local NHS services.

      Strong, further action now will strike the right balance between protecting the public and managing the risk of an escalating situation in prisons.

      Steps are being taken to expand the use of electronic monitoring to facilitate the safe release of more low-risk prisoners who were due to leave jail in the next two months regardless.

      This means those nearing the end of their sentences will be released in stages on temporary licence – allowing prisons to continue to safely manage vulnerable but higher-risk offenders within the estate.

      Statutory Instruments to allow these releases to take place will be laid on Monday and the move aligns us with countries such as France, the United States, Australia, Germany, and Canada who have also sanctioned the early release of prisoners.

      France has announced the release of some 5,000 prisoners, while in the US state of California alone, 3,500 are being granted early release.

      The Prison Service has already taken decisive action to ensure prisons are complying with social distancing rules and provided alternative means for prisoners to keep in touch with their families after cancelling family visits.

      Additionally, the Justice Secretary Robert Buckland granted temporary release of pregnant women in custody, while movements between jails have been limited in all but exceptional cases.

      All actions have been informed by the advice of experts from Public Health England and will be kept under constant review.

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  3. A tragic outbreak of COVID-19 in a Glasgow care home has lead to 13 confirmed deaths.

    Burlington Court Care Home has the capacity to provide nursing care for up to 90 residents with complex medical needs.

    It cares for people with ongoing medical conditions such as Huntington’s and Parkinson’s Disease.

    Union called in after Blochairn Recycling Centre's staff raised virus concerns

    The deaths at the Stepps Road care home all took place in the past seven days.

    All 13 fatalities have been linked to COVID-19.

    Two members of staff are also being treated for the disease.


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  4. Hopefully, the government will also release them to an address, rather than sending them out NFA as they currently do! Through The Gate pfft! Waste if time. Dump the problem on Probation, as per usual.

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    1. These early released cases won't be subject to Probation supervision until the point their licence would have started anyway. So it won't be Probation's problem.

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    2. Err. How do you know that? Have the specific details of the scheme been published already? If so, please direct me to them. If not, shut your speculative gob!

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    3. Just a thought, but will there be a provision for those being released to access any benefits as they're not being discharged but only being released on ROTL?

      'Getafix

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    4. Probably not. They'll have to join in the universal credit clusterfuck with everyone else and hope to get some money whenever. Notice Buckland said all releases will be robustly risk assessed and nobody without suitable accommodation and healthcare provision will be released. That'll be nobody then as we can't provide these things for a significant proportion of releases at the best of times how the fuck are we going to manage them now? These clowns live in cloud cuckoo land when they come out with this shit and expect those of us at the sharp end to wave a magic wand and make the impossible happen so they can look decisive and in charge. Once this is under control there will need to be a reckoning with those who believe that the public sector is a liability. All of us will need to stand up and be counted.

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    5. My understanding is discharged on HDC = access to benefits like U Credit.
      Released on ROTL = still a serving prisoner and no access to benefits.
      It seems a technicality, but could be a serious oversight by the MoJ.
      4000 offenders released with two months in the community without access to money? What could go wrong?

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  5. I was warmed this week by the Governments response to the energy companies looking for multi £billion bailouts in anticipation of large numbers of households not being able to pay their bills.
    They were refused and directed towards the banks and the Governments loan schemes.
    It's a reminder that whilst they may be private sectors delivering important public services, they are still businesses, in it for profit like all other businesses small and large, and just because you profit from delivering vital public services it dosen't allow you unfettered access to taxpayers money.
    The Coronavirus pandemic is exposing a lot about the way our society operates, and in these most difficult times its not the big wheels that's keeping the world in motion, its the millions of little cogs that are making things work.
    It's not just the general public that need to remember that post pandemic, but our Governments too.
    The first half of the following may be of interest, and I think the observations made could be applied more broadly.

    https://www.thelist.com/198955/why-the-big-decision-aldi-just-made-is-so-important/

    'Getafix

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    1. As we enter the second month of pandemic living, we are beginning to recognize a new kind of hero. Whoever thought that working in the service industry could be so stressful, so dangerous, and yet so absolutely crucial? While brave medical professionals are struggling to save lives, equally brave, yet far more poorly-paid, fast food employees and grocery store workers are struggling to keep us all fed.

      Even some corporations are stepping up to do the right thing, recognizing that the smallest cogs in their wheels are actually some of the most vital ones. It's not the corporate head honchos, after all, who are out there on the front lines exposing themselves to who knows what germs without even any hand sanitizer left to protect them — no, the ones taking all the risks are the workers making barely above minimum wage. 

      Budget-minded grocer Aldi, known for cost-cutting measures like requiring shoppers to being their own bags, is putting people above profits during the current crisis. Fox13 shared Aldi's unprecedented announcement that it will not only be giving its employees a 10 percent pay raise, but that this raise will be backdated to cover all hours worked since March 9.

      Aldi, a chain based in Europe, is acting not just locally but globally, with the pay raise intended for employees at all their worldwide locations affected by coronavirus — which is to say, anywhere on the planet. (Ok, Tajikistan, North Korea, and the Solomon Islands have no confirmed COVID-19 cases, according to The Diplomat, but then, they're also lacking in Aldis.)

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    2. Not sure if Ali are giving a pay rise or paying a 10% bonus. Tesco is doing the same, backdated from March and currently operative until early May.

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    3. Unlike probation who require employees to jump through impossible hoops just for a measly £150 quid.

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  6. https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/02/world/coronavirus-earth-seismic-noise-scn-trnd/index.html

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  7. 10% payrise or 10% bonus?
    It's a 100% more then probation are getting anyway you look at it.

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  8. Another 708 people have died after testing positive for coronavirus - including the youngest ever UK victim aged five - taking the UK's total to 4,313.

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  9. It isn't going to get any better here until they show some humility & stop their belligerent bragging. UK Gov sounds so frighteningly similar to Trump:

    “We only have five people, we pretty much shut it down coming from China,” Trump said on 30 January, the day the World Health Organization declared a global emergency.

    “It’s going to disappear. One day – it’s like a miracle – it will disappear”, he said on 27 February, the day America mourned its first coronavirus death.

    At the time of writing this the US has almost 300,000 (293,500) reported cases of coronavirus & just shy of 8,000 (7,896) deaths.

    It may be that Trump is now starting to wake up to the reality...

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/apr/04/trump-coronavirus-science-analysis

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    1. More than 6,000 people have died and the curve is still rising exponentially. Covid-19 is overwhelming hospitals in New York, New Orleans, Detroit and is hurtling towards the Trump-supporting heartlands. The federal stockpile of essential medical equipment is nearly empty. Ventilators and protective gear for frontline medical staff are running fatally low. Doctors are improvising masks to save their own lives out of plastic bags and rubber bands. Even diagnostic testing, the most critical hope for getting on top of the disease, remains hard to get because of shortages in swabs and vials leaving emergency coordinators still – three months into the crisis – in the dark.

      It is a catastrophe that many scientists and public health emergency experts believe could substantially have been averted, if only Trump had listened.

      “This will be regarded as the worst public health disaster in America in a century,” said Eric Topol, professor of molecular medicine at Scripps Research in San Diego. “The root cause of the disaster was the lack of readiness to understand where, how and when the disease was spreading.”

      Jeremy Konyndyk, a senior policy fellow at the Center for Global Development who led the US government’s response to international disasters between 2013 and 2017, said that stark contrasts in outcomes between different countries in terms of illness and death have been determined not by Covid-19 itself, but by how seriously each government took the risk and how early they acted.

      “On that score we failed badly,” he said. “You can have the best system in the world, but if you give the virus an eight-week head start it will eat you alive.”

      For Naomi Oreskes, a history of science professor at Harvard, the unfolding calamity is the fulfilment of her worst fears.

      “When we first heard about coronavirus, I and several of my colleagues worried that Trump would not attend to scientific advice. This is a man who has exhibited a reckless disregard for scientific evidence over climate change; if he could do that, there was always the question of whether he would take seriously any science.”

      Oreskes sees Covid-19 as Trump’s ultimate challenge. Would he put the lives of hundreds of thousands of Americans first, or would he dig into the tried-and-tested Republican playbook of showing hostility to science and expertise, reining in government intervention and prioritizing the money markets?

      “This was a test of whether Trump’s government would act. What we’ve seen is that for the people in power in this country, ideology beats even an imminent threat.”

      Nancy Pelosi, the top Democrat in Congress, took the extraordinary step on Sunday of accusing Trump directly of “costing American lives”. His lessening of the severity of the virus early on “was deadly”, she told CNN, as will be the delays in delivering medical equipment to where it is needed.

      “As the president fiddles, people are dying,” she said. That was a tough accusation, even by the standards of these hyper-partisan times. But a growing number of scientists and health emergency experts are tentatively drawing the same conclusion.

      “We now know there will be well over 100,000 deaths,” Topol said. “A vast majority of those will have been unnecessarily lost because of the lack of preparedness of the United States. As a leader, Trump has to accept responsibility, which of course he won’t.”

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  10. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/liverpool-news/merseyside-nurse-describes-panic-front-17978242.amp

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  11. Coronavirus: Two prison workers die after battling Covid-19 symptoms

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/breaking-coronavirus-prison-worker-dies-21814755

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    1. HMP Pentonville. POA - "we will assist the families in any way we can at this time."

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    2. How about sending all the staff home because it’s unsafe to work around other people in this pandemic!

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  12. R4, Fallout, MaryAnn Sieghart, Finkelstein, Mason & others. Ep.1 - the role of the state. BBCSounds.

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  13. Five London bus workers have died after contracting coronavirus.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-52169002

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    1. Many ’keyworker’ professions are taking casualties. I understand why I’m starting to see images of NHS staff fully covered from head to toe and with gloves, masks, etc.

      Probation still has no PPE. Social distancing from both clients and colleagues is not possible in many offices. There are no screens being installed in interview rooms. Hand sanitizer and a round robin email from the boss is not enough !!

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  14. Where do we stand if we refuse to work if unsafe?

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    1. Hs legally safe shamefully the cowards at union level have not insisted on this nor issued a protective take personal action as soon as no risk assessments are not done.

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    2. Correct. Potentially all staff could refuse to work on the basis of threat to life. This would remain until their place of work has been risk assessed and satisfactory measures put in place.

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