Sunday 3 February 2019

Criminal Justice and the March of Technology

Facebook continues to develop as a lively place for probation staff to discuss matters of interest and occasionally the airing of more wide-ranging, discursive pieces. I think the following deserves a wider audience and is published with the author's agreement:- 

IT firm that tracks offenders for the National Probation Service is sold

A Newcastle IT company whose software is used by 18,000 members of staff at the National Probation Services (NPS) has been sold. Beaumont Colson’s (BCL) nDelious software is used by the NPS to manage offenders through the entire probationary system. It tracks their case from the moment of arrest, while they are in prision, as well as during their time in the community.

The company, based on Newbridge Street, has been acquired by national player The Unilink Group. Unilink said the tie-up would fuel its international expansion and allow it to create integrated systems from justice departments overseas.

Francis Toye, CEO and founder of The Unilink Group, said: “From the very first we have found enthusiasm and energy from the team in BCL that matches our own. The fit between these two innovative organisations and the logic of the tie-up is irrefutable. I am delighted that BCL is joining The Unilink Group today.”

Along with providing software for the NPS, Beaumont also carries out work for MTC-Novo, which runs the London and Thames Valley Community Rehabilitation Company. Its other clients include the Home Office, and the States of Jersey and Guernsey. The company employs 45 members of staff at its Newcastle office, which Unilink has pledged to keep open.

Paul Ryder, Beaumont Colson’s technical director, said: “The combination of Unilink’s and BCL’s skill sets will support the evolution of a generation of new products, extend our reach and allow us to provide enhanced service to existing customers and to new ones.”

Following the acquisition The Unilink Group now employs around 120 members of staff and has a turnover of between £12-£13m across the UK, EU and Australia. The company also has a base in North America. Over the last four years Unilink has trebled in size. It now consists of four companies: Unilink Software, BCL, Unilink Technology Services, and Acante. Unilink’s software applications are used by more than 80 organisations with almost 70,000 prisoners across the UK, Australia, New Zealand and Austria.

--oo00oo-- 

Just a little snippet of news that cropped up in some other research I’ve been doing on the tech side of probation that now seems to be the missing piece connecting several threads on my cork board neatly (I like red cord and pins). I have somehow previously not been able to find a common link like the unknown actor in a crime drama, although it makes sense to me that this exists. Now some things are starting to make a little more sense. With probation IT on both sides of the bridge driving every hardworking probation frontline worker nuts recently, I was interested to see that the company that developed nDELIUS (Beaumont Colson or BCL) has been sold to fast growing multinational company that I am already familiar with called UNILINK.

So just a few random thoughts here and nothing fully worked through evidenced or particularly well argued - which might irritate some. Make of it what you will as I will continue having a go at trying to unravel strands of this in the next few weeks and months to come and as with all tangled webs, it may be something or nothing much and may lead to a slightly different place that I had not anticipated. We shall see.

It seems though that BCL investors will have been convinced that the buy out was a very smart move. What interests me is what may have convinced them? It is no secret in the IT world that BCL have been doing some work for CRC owners, including as the article says, in London and Thames Valley MTC of late. They are proud of that and I think is now starting to be rolled out and my guesstimate of the value of this work (if it is what I think it is) is that it is likely to have been worth enough to attract the attention of competitors, especially with other work on apps and even bigger stuff in the pipeline. I guess that there will also be some work being done or considered at HMP Rainsbrook and it won’t hurt to have some coders onboard to iron out the glitches that will inevitably arise.

‘Unilink Software are a supplier of prisoner self-service technology and their systems are currently used in 28 prisons’. They have been mopping up on the technology front in prisons probably only slowed by those who run prisons not fully wishing for them to be modernised and for prison numbers to be reduced at a slower rate than is probably possible were the system to be fully digitised and integrated. I wouldn’t say that all this is necessarily bad or good news as such but rather that it is interesting news (maybe not only to me) as we could soon see some of the technical innovations that are currently unevenly distributed across a number of jurisdictions - that have in some cases been around a while - including greater technology enhanced linkage between custody and community, being increasingly rolled out and demonstrated by private companies (rather than public sector actors) and presented to be effective in reducing numbers and meeting elusive targets. 


Indeed these innovations if successful might well be seized upon by ministers - starved of potentially positive news - as some sort of ‘easy win’ vindication of the policies that they inherited and are now struggling to admit publicly were actually risky and are increasingly regarded across the sector as having failed and roundly discredited even by the hang ‘em and flog ‘em right of centre corporate media. 

Let us not also forget the timing of recent announcements regarding sentencing and the considerable investment that the government has already made in developing digital justice systems. It is logical to me at least to assume that all parts of the system need to be at the same level of technological development in order to work. It is obvious that change has not been universally welcomed across the system - to say the least - by key actors and players. 

Perhaps also consider how our European neighbours are effectively reducing prison numbers by increasing the use of technologies such as electronic monitoring and electronic self management systems but perhaps importantly and perhaps most tellingly are working towards combining measured use of technologies with the provision of more and more resources aimed at delivering community sentences by well trained highly motivated staff not with less demoralised staff and with fewer resources as seems to be the case with probation over here. 

I am fairly optimistic that the development and application of some techno solutions in our sector of the industry (we are after all part of a global criminal justice industry) do look promising as tools to deliver services effectively and efficiently (expect increased automation and more terminals and robots) but less optimistic when I look at the state of the people institutions organisations and systems that will need to lead and deliver what is required and address the increasingly yawning gap between where we are now and where we need to be in probation as key players in a new modernised joined up justice system that is fit for purpose after being decimated, put into reverse, repeatedly hammered and impeded by the cloddishness of the TR1 debacle.

Then after thinking about all this a bit more I began to realise that companies buying other smart companies up might actually be a more significant development just now than it might first appear. It is after all the expertise to develop stuff and technologies in Probation such as software applications that work that are being bought - presumably in anticipation and with high level assurances - and that some fairly major movements are about to take place and that there is a real prospect that more well paid work will be generated soon for those who have positioned themselves well (expanding markets) and that this will allow investors in those companies that have done so and are doing so to potentially make much bigger profits from either an enlarged existing contract or more lucrative future contracts.

A company like UNILINK with expanding global reach now takes fewer risks and is growing rapidly and steadily increasing its influence exponentially (count the knighthoods). It is also potentially disruptive in a volatile artificially created UK justice market and is capable of game shaping/changing moves should it choose to make them. The MoJ is looking for solutions that are publicly acceptable and face saving and technology may be a get out of jail card that might be more palatable than others.

Unilink is a company I have been following closely for some time. They first cropped up on my radar in relation to the now abandoned London biometric reporting kiosks https://www.unilink.com/ some years ago now - perhaps testing the market. They did get the kiosks to talk to DELIUS but not much else as systems weren’t really up to the technical demands required. They are however a forward looking tech company and certainly have some experience expertise and reach in several related sectors now and interestingly they have some fairly radical ideas for instance about how digital prisons should be run using self service kiosks and in cell terminals for starters etc. That interests me as it is an example of a technologically mediated sentence provision and after a few false starts quite probably the shape of things to come in prisons, courts, police stations and in probation - not everyone’s idea of the direction of travel. No technology is neutral and how something is designed and conceived to be used is quite important to me. The Australian connection will also interest many who will know that MTC also run prisons there - an interesting and not unsurprising association evidencing the bigger picture.

Bidders for new contracts of course always want to offer something that their competitors may not be able to offer - or indeed want to offer - to the commissioners/bid assessors as something they might want to roll out more widely (usually because it might reduce costs and help meet targets). Could this be the point of origin of the promised revolution? UNILINK could potentially make interesting things happen for CRC owners faster technically than the more cumbersome and less agile MoJ (Digital by default?) and has some experience of the technical and political challenges faced having been there before. They have certainly shown that they are adept at penetrating justice markets elsewhere but the MoJ may feel that they need to move more slowly given past failures and problems and their own processes might not be helping them to be agile in a fast paced market. 


But is it really a techno corrections/solutions heavy approach ‘the approach’ that the UK government will want to adopt over others? The UK is already the biggest user of electronic monitoring in Europe - a position that is unlikely to change - but it has been slower to use this technology more effectively, as others have done, and has been beset by scandal and controversy arguably due to poor commissioning and governance - once bitten twice shy. I would argue that we should be cautious to engage but not dismissive of technological potential and developments even though we in probation have often been let down or found ourselves at the sharp end of previous poor technological implementations and plans.

Some very telling quotes in the article attached to be unpacked and certainly a lot to consider in the round. I think it is worth keeping a watchful eye on such things and keep trying our best to map out the connections that together might give us a clearer idea of the shape of things to come or what things are eventually going to look like even if such developments such as a single takeover may at first glance seem relatively irrelevant or uninteresting. 


But if you want to get to the bottom of something you could do worse than to follow the money. The sums of money involved are certainly eye watering (£1bn on Court services and millions on software development including applications to better interface with the MoJs own clunky and now ageing systems) and as this is taxpayers money we should perhaps all pay some attention to how it is being spent in our name in the public interest, especially as it is potentially the future of our work and our industry that is at stake.

David Raho

10 comments:

  1. Read but cannot claim to understand. A bit Hercule Poirotesque. Maybe something in it maybe not. Guess trying to follow the money in Probation pseudo marketised times a good line of enquury. Basically what is Raho suggesting? Confused.com.

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    1. Yes another Blah Blah says nothing as it means little to the coal face and that is not saying much. Although twice as much as what he knows.

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    2. Who is David Raho?

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  2. This is actually very interesting because it does indeed connect several dots. Not many people are interested in the nuts and bolts of the criminal justice system and how the costly backroom pieces fit together. At least one person is on the case. I appreciate the oblique referencing of Drucker’s principles of innovation. This is actually a very timely wake up call as only the biggest probation providers have made or will be able to make the investments necessary in IT systems in order to make cost efficient bids and anyone else bidding may well be forced to buy systems licensed by the bigger players. What the author is doing here in a very forward looking subtle way is mapping out the future shape of probation in relation to the systems that are likely to remain the same and those currently being developed to work with them. Sometimes you need to study the wiring diagrams to understand how the machine will function. This is a very complex thing to do as it is all very commercially sensitive and there is a great deal of money involved and none of the players really want anyone to get to the bottom of it before all the contracts are signed. This indicates to me that the bidding process is a farce as the custom wiring has already been paid for. Thanks Jim a discursive but important piece of the overall picture that will become more relevant as matters unfold.

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  3. The Principles of Innovation

    Drucker formulated his "Principles of Innovation" which consisted of the following:

    1. Analyze the Sources of Innovation for Opportunities
    2. Determine Customer Needs, Wants and Expectations
    3. Innovation Should Be Simple and Focused
    4. Innovation Should Start Small
    5. Innovation Should Aim at Leadership

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    1. Innovation is a constant persuit since Ugg invented the wheel. A perpetual search for improvement and perfection.
      But you need to know when to stop sometimes. Don't overcook the cake or you risk having to start all over again.

      https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2019/feb/03/police-risk-racial-profiling-by-using-data-to-predict-reoffenders-report-warns

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    2. The rapid growth in the use of computer programs to predict crime hotspots and people who are likely to reoffend risks locking discrimination into the criminal justice system, a report has warned.

      Amid mounting financial pressure, at least a dozen police forces are using or considering the predictive analytics. Leading police officers have said they want to make sure any data they use has “ethics at its heart”.

      But a report by the human rights group Liberty raises concern that the programs encourage racial profiling and discrimination, and threaten privacy and freedom of expression.

      Hannah Couchman, a policy and campaigns officer at Liberty, said that when decisions were made on the basis of arrest data it was “already imbued with discrimination and bias from way people policed in the past” and that was “entrenched by algorithms”.

      She added: “One of the key risks with that is that it adds a technological veneer to biased policing practices. People think computer programs are neutral but they are just entrenching the pre-existing biases that the police have always shown.”

      Using freedom of information data, the report finds that at least 14 forces in the UK are using algorithm programs for policing, have previously done so or conducted research and trials into them.

      The campaign group StopWatch said it had “grave concerns around the effectiveness, fairness and accountability of these programs”. Its chief executive, Katrina Ffrench, said: “We cannot be sure that these programs have been developed free of bias and that they will not disproportionately adversely impact on certain communities or demographics. For proper accountability there needs to be full transparency.”

      These programs are often referred to as “black boxes” because the role each piece of data plays in the program’s decision-making process is not made public.

      “This means the public can’t hold the programs to account – or properly challenge the predictions they make about us or our communities. This is exacerbated by the fact that the police are not open and transparent about their use,” the Liberty report concludes.

      The programs used by police work in two main ways. Firstly, predictive mapping looks at police data about past crimes and identify “hotspots” or areas that are likely to experience more crime on a map. Police officers are then directed to patrol these parts of the country.

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    3. Secondly, “individual risk assessment” tries to predict the likelihood of a person committing, or even be the victim of, certain crimes.

      Durham is among forces using such programs and has a system called Harm Assessment Risk Tool (Hart), says the report. Hart uses machine learning to decide how likely a person is to commit a violent or non-violent offence over the next two years. It gives an individual a risk score of low, medium or high, and is designed to over-estimate the risk. The program bases its prediction on 34 pieces of data, 29 of which relate to someone’s past criminal history.

      West Midlands police are also leading on a £48m project funded by the Home Office called National Data Analytics Solution (NDAS). The long-term aim of the project is to analyse vast quantities of data from force databases, social services, the NHS and schools to calculate where officers can be most effectively used. An initial trial combined data on crimes, custody, gangs and criminal records to identify 200 offenders “who were getting others into a life on the wrong side of the law”.

      Supt Iain Donnelly, who is the project manager for NDAS, said: “[The project] seeks to use advanced analytics, otherwise known as data science techniques, to generate new insights from existing data already in the possession of police.”

      He said the datasets being used were crime recording, incident logs, custody records, crime intelligence and conviction history from the police national computer (PNC) system. “We are not using data from non-police agencies,” he said.

      Tom McNeil, strategic adviser to the West Midlands police and crime commissioner, said: “We are determined to ensure that any data science work carried out by West Midlands police has ethics at its heart … These projects must be about supporting communities with a compassionate public health approach.” He said they have adopted a “transparent approach” working with human rights charities.

      Until last March, Kent police used PredPol, a mapping program widely deployed in the US. The force is looking to invest in a similar predictive policing program available at a lower cost, or may develop its own. Kent said the £100,000 a year system was part of its focus on “finding innovative ways of working resourcefully” and that it was under ongoing analysis.

      Avon and Somerset police use both mapping programs and a broad range of controversial risk assessment programs. They use the latter to explore, among other things, a person’s likelihood of reoffending, of being a victim of a crime and of being reported missing.

      “With so many predictive analytics programs or algorithms now in use it’s even more important than ever to be asking questions about how an individual’s risk is calculated, which factors are included and what is the margin of error when using these factors, [and] is someone asking whether the ‘risk factors’ are as accurate for black or BME people as they are for white people?” said Zubaida Haque, the deputy director at the Runnymede trust.

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  4. Keep an eye on Interserve this week.

    https://news-sky-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/news.sky.com/story/amp/outsourcer-interserve-closes-in-on-debt-for-equity-rescue-deal-11627404?amp_js_v=a2&amp_gsa=1&usqp=mq331AQCCAE%3D#referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&ampshare=https%3A%2F%2Fnews.sky.com%2Fstory%2Foutsourcer-interserve-closes-in-on-debt-for-equity-rescue-deal-11627404

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    1. The public sector outsourcing giant Interserve is closing in on a rescue deal that will involve swapping hundreds of millions of pounds of debt for shares in the company.

      Sky News has learnt that Interserve, which has been grappling with ways to avert a Carillion-style collapse in recent months, could announce as soon as this week that it has reached an in-principle agreement with lenders about the restructuring.

      If successfully concluded, such an agreement will provide enormous relief to government ministers desperate to salvage the future of the provider of myriad public sector contracts and the employer of 45,000 people in the UK.

      It would also be a major fillip to Debbie White, Interserve's chief executive, whose Fit for Growth turnaround programme was bolstered last week by the disposal of a loss-making waste-to-energy project in Dunbar.

      The debt-for-equity swap, which has been under discussion for several months, is likely to involve swapping around £300m of its borrowings - half its overall debts - for new shares, in line with the company's publicly stated debt targets.

      However, City sources said that Ms White had concluded that an earlier proposal to hand Interserve's £250m building materials unit to its lenders was now unlikely to be pursued. A mooted equity capital-raising was also being put on the back-burner for the time-being, they added.

      While neither the company nor its advisers or lenders would discuss the restructuring this weekend, other stakeholders suggested that an announcement about the outline of a deal could come in the next few days.

      They cautioned that a formal agreement had yet to be reached between the various parties.

      Like other outsourcing groups, Interserve has been left financially troubled by depleted margins on major contracts and a disastrous foray into the waste-to-energy sector.

      Its troubles have seen its shares collapse by 85% over the last year amid fears that it might not survive, and that doing so would dilute existing investors' interests.

      The company now has a market value of less than £20m, meaning its equity value is dwarfed by its debts.

      The company is being advised by Lazard and Rothschild, while EY is working for the company's banking syndicate and Deloitte is advising the Cabinet Office on the situation.

      The company previously said it was "working with its advisers to look at all options to deliver the optimum capital structure for the group to support its long-term sustainable development".‎

      The restructuring is also expected to include amending its financing agreements by extending debt maturity dates and repayment profiles.

      "Our lenders are supportive of the deleveraging plan which will underpin the long-term future of Interserve," Ms White said in December.

      Interserve is one of the UK's biggest private sector employers in areas such as office-cleaning, while it also provides support to Britain's armed forces in Cyprus, Gibraltar and the Falkland Islands.

      The Cabinet Office has insisted that it does not view the company as a replica of Carillion and continues to have confidence in it.

      The crisis surrounding Interserve's finances has persisted for more than a year, with the company initially blaming economic uncertainty and weak government spending for a massive profit warning in the autumn of 2017.

      It is the latest in a string of UK outsourcers to face material uncertainty over its finances, with Carillion's insolvency coming in the wake of rescue efforts at Capita and Serco.

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