Wednesday, 20 August 2025

Blimey - 10,000 Staff Short!

This from BBC news website:-

Leaked report shows 10,000 gap in probation staff

There is a shortage of around 10,000 probation staff to manage offenders serving sentences in the community, documents seen by the BBC show.

Probation staff supervise offenders after they are released from prison, and check they follow terms of their release such as curfews, not taking drugs, and wearing tags that can restrict their movement. They also protect the public by assessing the risk of reoffending.

A series of documents leaked to the BBC reveal the shortfall of full-time staff dealing with sentence management. In response, the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) said it had inherited a probation service "under immense pressure", and last year recruited 1,000 trainee officers.

According to a government study compiled last year, some 17,170 full-time staff were needed to deal with sentence management in September 2023. 
This was prior to the government releasing tens of thousands of offenders early to create more space in overcrowded prisons - creating even more work for the probation service.

According to a sentence management activity review by His Majesty's Prison and Probation Service (HMPPS), there are only 7,236 members of staff in this specific role - around 10,000 fewer than needed. The BBC understands the findings were compiled through staff surveys, analysis of timesheets, and monitoring how employees work on a daily basis.

Probation: 'Too few staff, with too little experience, managing too many offenders'

In response to the report's findings, a probation officer told the BBC: 
"These jobs are the bread and butter of probation, and the situation in terms of staffing is considerably worse than is being thought, especially at a time when the pressure on us is immense. It's infuriating when some of us are being told it's our fault we're not doing enough and that we need to up our game, but actually the workload is sky high."
Probation staff say the early release scheme known as SDS40 has dramatically increased their workload. Between 10 September 2024 and the end of March this year, 26,456 people were released under the scheme. The staff say failing to monitor released inmates could lead to a surge in reoffending and others going off the official radar, meaning they are completely unsupervised.

In February this year, Justice Secretary Shabana Mahmood pledged to recruit 1,300 probation officers by April 2026. At that time, the MoJ said officers had been "asked to do too much for too long" and "burdened with high workloads" - meaning they were unable to pay enough attention to offenders posing the greatest risk. In some cases, this led to "missed warning signs" where offenders went on to commit serious offences such as murder, the MoJ said.

The probation caseload - the number of offenders staff are looking after - was 241,540 at the end of March 2025 - an increase of 9% over a decade. Staff may have multiple appointments with each offender in a week.

"Someone is going to get seriously hurt because when you're stressed and overworked you can't get everything right - it's just human nature - and that's why they need thousands of more staff because it could be dangerous otherwise," another probation officer said. "They [ministers] are trying to give the impression it's all OK and they're pumping in staff, but they're nowhere near close to filling the gaps. And it can take a year or more to train someone properly."

Last year's annual report from HM Inspectorate of Probation cited "chronic under-staffing" and the "knock-on impact on workloads" as key issues of concern. In March 2025, there were 21,022 full-time probation staff in England and Wales - an increase of 610 on the previous year. Sentence management staff are part of the wider cohort of probation staff.

One probation officer described the workload as "non-stop", and increasing until "you simply can't cope", adding: "It's just overwhelming." Many of the recommendations made in the Independent Sentencing Review earlier this year are expected to be put before parliament next month. They include more offenders being managed in the community, instead of serving jail time. This will again increase the probation workload.

In response to the findings, the MoJ told the BBC that pressure on the probation service "has placed too great a burden on our hardworking staff". 
A spokesperson said they had recently announced a £700m increase in funding by 2028, as well as recruiting more trainee probation officers. "We are also investing in new technology that reduces the administrative burden on staff time so they can focus on working with offenders and protecting the public," they added.

39 comments:

  1. It is a ruse to justify major new reforms and changes to probation . The solution is integrate to full prison service control. Change the function to discipline and move into community based surveillance monitoring and order. We know it is never going to magic up 10k new officers. We only ever had 7k at most. Readers you been warned

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    1. Sadly believe this is right

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    2. HMPPS the forerunner to Uk Correctional Services…already planned, already discussed just awaiting an ‘opportunity’ to implement………..gentlemen here is your chance……take it now or lose it for a generation……….

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    3. Reckon they should just draft in the military to sort out the problems in prisons. That should solve the problems pronto.

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  2. There are too few probation staff to manage the number of people subjected to probation!

    "Too few staff, with too little experience, managing too many offenders."

    Does the solution really lay in recruiting more new staff with too little experience to manage too many offenders, or should the solution be sought by reducing the number of people being funneled into probation and being more selective about who should be on probation in the first place?
    A quarter of a million people do not need to be on probation. That's approximately three times the prison population, and for what and who's benefit?

    'Getafix

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  3. Former Preston probation office set for conversion into 25 flats – Blog Preston https://share.google/h934ox30fyXyyZb9E

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  4. I'm not sure which office has 10,000 staff short, but we could do with double that amount in my office....

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  5. It’s not simply a matter of dividing the number of cases by the number of officers either.
    Too many qualified officers are not managing cases, but are strutting around pretending to be micro managers or engaged in non operational activities such as data collecting and target monitoring.
    If you add in the numbers permanently attending meetings, on sick leave or otherwise not at their desks, ( I deliberately didn’t say not at work as most staff are hog tied to their work station,) then the remaining few are juggling chainsaws and simply waiting to be held accountable when it all goes wrong. They can then be investigated by others who have not held a caseload in years but who can instantly point out what they would have done differently.
    Nobody takes any responsibility for the death of a once great institution, instead they are obscenely rewarded.
    On a personal basis I am surprised that they are only 10,000 staff short as the job has nothing to offer at practitioner level.

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    1. A good point there are way too many probation officer staff not actually doing the job. The problem there is they are not doing any other job well either. All po qualified staff need training and directed back to primary role like it or not all other task appoint appropriately skilled people it does not require a po to do all other tasks a long standing joke in probation .

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    2. "to have a credible probation service the Government’s basic responsibility is to ensure that there are enough trained probation officers with enough available time to supervise the rehabilitation of the number of offenders for whom they are responsible—nothing more, nothing less." Lord Ramsbotham, 2010.

      "In 2008-09, the probation case load was 197,000 on community orders and 46,200 ex-prisoners under supervision. To supervise them are 7,200 qualified and senior probation officers, 6,100 probation service officers and 6,950 managers and administrative staff." also Lord Ramsbotham, 2010.

      2008/9 caseload ~ 243,000
      PO/SPO/PSO ~ 13,300

      March 2025 ~ 240,000
      PO/SPO/PSO ~ 12,400

      Whatever happened to grayling's "introduction of 50,000 new (under-12 month custodial cohort) clients per annum" ? I see no difference in the caseloads pre- & post-TR, i.e. 243,000 plays 240,000.

      Same old political bollox-speak, smoke-&-mirrors, lies & deceptions.

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    3. They don't want a probation service credible or not.

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  6. Strange how we have been telling anyone who would listen that this has been the case for a number of years and it comes out now while a ballot for industrial action is taking place!!

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  7. In 2022 in the West Mids we were told (promised) in an all staff letter, that caseloads for Po's should and would be in the low 20's come 2023. Obviously that has never materilised yet for the last 3 years we have been bullied, threatened and made to feel as if we are shit at our jobs if we dare to miss any of there stupid targets! Did we ever get an apology, did we get an explanation, no it was just quietly forgotten...by management at least

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  8. Jim, where is your voice to speak up about Palestine. Are you a Zionist who believes in the killing of children

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    1. I took a decision some time ago that the whole thing cannot be discussed reasonably here and therefore the topic is a no-go area. Sorry about that as I would normally not be so censorious.

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    2. Too right Jim all readers the title is on probation blog let's not get hijacked by either side of the current situation facing international politics. That has no place for the probation debate.

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    3. The blog is about the Probation service, nothing to do with Palestine. What a ridiculous comment.

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    4. I'm surprised JB published it opened the door to misdirection can it be deleted and we move on.

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    5. I read 1141 as antagonistic. Why ask where Jim's voice is. Jim is managing a trending probation blog why would anyone comment with such huge responsibility to be impartial. I agree it ought to be deleted .

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  9. Really interesting article published on the probation institute site.
    Where once probation and magistrates were both on the same hymn sheet, it's really sad to see how separated they have become.

    https://revolving-doors.org.uk/the-sentencing-disconnect-why-sentencers-need-better-information-about-community-orders/

    'Getafix

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  10. Sooooooo. How accurate is the WMT then ???????

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    1. Chicken entrails and tea leaves spring to mind!

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    2. Love that response at 20:19.

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  11. Probation is no longer a profession totally stupefied

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  12. The depth, breadth & general extent of the rot in our so-called 'justice system' is breathtaking - from failing/inapproriate infrastructure to failing/inadequate regimes - yet successive "leaders" have been feted as excellent, handsomely rewarded & moved on with honours. Here's yet another example:

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68a42b5ea66f515db69343d2/HMP_Lincoln_action_plan_-_August_2025.pdf

    * It was much too difficult for new arrivals to speak to
    their families and friends promptly.
    * Recorded levels of self-harm were rising but care
    planning for prisoners in crisis was not good
    enough.
    * The temporary water heating system was not fit for
    purpose and required urgent investment.
    * Not enough was done to listen and respond to
    prisoners’ concerns.
    * There were insecure and unsafe practices
    regarding the transportation and dispensing of
    medicines around the prison
    * Prisoners unallocated to work or education spent 22
    hours locked up each day during the week.
    * The prison was very overcrowded, with nearly 90% of
    prisoners sharing cells designed for one person.
    * Work to promote fair treatment was under-resourced,
    and leaders had not explored or addressed
    Prisoners’ perceptions of inequality.
    * Access to a GP took too long and did not meet
    patients’ needs.
    * There were gaps in public protection telephone
    monitoring arrangements.
    * Too many prisoners, about 20%, were released
    homeless
    _______________________________________________________

    Also, can we call out the barefaced lies & slippery use of language as published on .gov.uk pages? For example let's look at a snapshot from 2023, the year the leaked report refers to:

    https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/hm-prison-probation-service-workforce-quarterly-december-2023/hm-prison-and-probation-service-workforce-quarterly-december-2023

    "Within the Probation Service, there were 4,762 FTE Probation Officers in post, a shortfall of 2,031 FTE against the required staffing level of 6,794 FTE..."

    versus:

    "According to a government study compiled last year, some 17,170 full-time staff were needed to deal with sentence management in September 2023."

    ***** the required staffing level of 6,794 FTE *****

    and yet...

    "According to a sentence management activity review by His Majesty's Prison and Probation Service (HMPPS), there are only 7,236 members of staff in this specific role - around 10,000 fewer than needed."

    How are they defining "full time staff"?

    How do the PO/PSO roles fit with the data?

    "As at 31 December 2023, there were 6,339 FTE band 3 probation services officers in post"

    Add this to the 6,794 PO staff & its 13,133... still way short of the nebulus 17,170 figure quoted.

    The manipulations continue...

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  13. Im getting confused with all the different figures using the word 'staff', are we 10000 down on PO's specifically or if not what's the mix of PO'/PSO's, is HMPPS including cleaners, admin, IT, HR, maintenance staff etc when it trys to insist we're fully 'staffed'?

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  14. Recruit more robots with criminology and PE degrees Thats the answer

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  15. https://www.lep.co.uk/news/crime/man-pleads-guilty-to-attempted-murder-of-probation-officer-after-attack-at-the-pavilions-in-ashton-preston-5282942

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  16. Why is there a trial if he has pleaded guilty? Meanwhile she remains in hospital.
    Meanwhile the so called health and safety checks provide no additional safety and the Chief Probation Officer enjoys the "Bake off" and awarding a prize for the best cake for National Probation Day!
    "Let them eat cake" springs to mind!

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    1. oh... AI says "There is no widely recognized or official "National Probation Day" in the UK or internationally for 2025. While the Probation Service is a crucial part of the criminal justice system in England and Wales, supervising offenders and protecting the public, the concept of a specific national day for it has not been established"

      Computer says 'No!'

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  17. I wonder who will write his PSR? A dangerousness assessment will be required. Please allocate to someone who actually knows how to prepare this type of report!

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    1. "Gee, of no fixed address, was charged with attempted murder, possession of a knife, threatening a person with an offensive weapon, possession of an imitation firearm with intent to cause fear of violence, and false imprisonment.
      He pleaded guilty to all charges at Liverpool Crown Court on Thursday, August 21. The 35-year-old was remanded in custody and will be sentenced at Preston Crown Court on November 17."

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    2. I doubt they'll request a PSR as he's pleaded guilty plus they'd have to ensure it was completely unbiased

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    3. You can only complete a PSR for a guilty plea.

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    4. But the Judge doesn't have to if he feels it's unnecessary

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    5. It is likely that the Judge will want a PSR to fully understand the defendant's circumstances, thinking and behaviour and risk assessments at the time of the offence. A PSR isn't just about sentencing. It's a snapshot of that person in time and is also used many years later at parole hearings to evidence change.

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  18. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cedve6qnx13o

    A man has admitted the attempted murder of a probation officer who was stabbed at work.

    The female officer, aged in her 30s, was attacked at The Pavilions probation offices in Ashton, Preston, on the afternoon of 22 July and remains in hospital.

    Ryan Gee, 35, of no fixed address, also admitted threatening a person with an offensive weapon, possession of a knife in a public place, possession of an imitation firearm with intent to cause fear of violence and false imprisonment.

    He will be sentenced at Preston Crown Court on 17 November.

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  19. It’s a bad thing to suggest but I think it is indicative of the change in relationship we are seen as worse as the police and prison officers and no longer an advocate for service users this in no way justifies this behavior but the pendulum ax swung to the right

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    1. We're seen as worse as we spout on about rehabilitation, change, support but as soon as someone misses an appointment, raises there voice or gets caught dodging a bus fare many officers start panicking and seek permission to breach or recall. At least they know that Police catch them and Prison officers contain them, what we do is one big contradictory mess

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