Thursday 31 December 2020

Here's To a Better Year

It will not have gone entirely unnoticed that there has been 'radio silence' of late and I guess the reason is probably connected with feelings of fatigue, confusion and general malaise brought on by the very strange times we've all been trying to grapple with over the last 10 months. 

For the most part, this publishing venture continues to give purpose, satisfaction and some pleasure, but I'm not at all sure where it's going, who's coming with me and if it will still have much of a purpose in 2021. 

Despite the demise of TR and our part in that saga, it's quite obvious to me that probation's essential distinctiveness and modus operandi cannot survive the dead hand of civil service control and to be honest I don't see even a half-hearted campaign to make a compelling case for a return to independence. As has been the situation almost from inception, this small corner of the internet remains a relatively safe haven for the idealistic, disillusioned but ever-diminishing band of recusants who steadfastly refuse to confirm that the NPS emperor is fully clothed, but is it still viable and useful?

There's going to be much angst during the CRC wind-up and NPS transition. We all know the centralised HR and payroll will barely cope and there will be tears shed over yet another sifting and shafting exercise. Many colleagues will be searching for support and guidance over the transition period, however I'm not at all confident that this can be achieved within a civil service mindset and especially one so focused on secrecy. Having at least one Union that still seems to have trouble coming to terms with effective communication in a digital age doesn't help either. 

In all this doom and gloom is there any cause for hope? The answer is yes and it comes from Wales. There is the very real opportunity of that part of the United Kingdom being able to wrest control of the probation function from the MoJ, HMPPS and NPS and re-cast the service into something akin to that still remaining in places such as Northern Ireland, Scotland the Channel Islands, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand and Crown Dependencies such as St Helena. You see it was only England that couldn't understand what probation was all about and allow Grayling, the Tories and Liberal Democrats to smash it. I have high hopes of Wales being able to lead the way back in 2021.  

In my view, if Wales cannot deliver an alternative, independent vision for probation, it's game over for the profession being able to do something useful for society. Probation Officers cannot be civil servants - period! Why is this not understood? Oh hang on - it's because most people never understood what the job was about anyway and why I thought a blog might help. 

--oo00oo--

I want to end this by putting on record my pride and admiration for living in a country with a National Health Service, the ethos that lies behind its formation and continuation and one of the very few institutions that has close to universal support from its citizens. Get vaccinated in 2021, continue to behave responsibly and help protect the NHS for our mutual benefit. 

Happy New Year!     


     

   

28 comments:

  1. H.N.Y jim brown.

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  2. "You see it was only England that couldn't understand what probation was all about and allow Grayling, the Tories and Liberal Democrats to smash it."

    I rather suspect the architects of TR knew *exactly* what probation was all about and knew *exactly* what they were doing when they let Grayling et al off the leash. The Tories simply couldn't abide the notion of a social construct that valued those they don't value; the LibDems were simply in shock and in thrall to the few crumbs of power they had been offered. They couldn't bear losing those few crumbs.

    Ingredients for A Perfect Storm:

    - Carefully prepare your ideologies in advance and add:
    - One shiny Eton Oxbridge boy
    - One lightly bruised Wycombe Grammar school wannabe
    - A small tureen of primordial libdem soup
    - A handful of ambitious simple serpents - do NOT remove the venom as toxicity is vital to the process
    - Stir in One generous helping of bullying culture

    Allow to foment, ensuring the lid is kept on to prevent leaks

    Serve generous helpings to friends & family, adding sweeteners where required.

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  3. Honours for those at the top. CB for Jo Farrar and an MBE for Sonia Flynn.

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  4. Reciprocations.

    The word I tend to use when I want to acknowledge greetings but do not know how to respond - without either long explanations or repeating past words.

    ====================

    After thought

    During the TR fiasco - I engaged with the then (may still be) CPO of the Irish Probation Service - they too were still using the 1907 Probation of Offenders Act as their basic legislation - though updates were then under consideration.

    It may be of use for readers not from Ireland to see what is going on there now - maybe even a guest blog on the subject from some informed person can be encouraged.

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  5. Perhaps an understood equalities based position could have protected probation on some positions. Too many went along with tr in probation as snobbery took hold of the chosen. Napo aided the enemy. We paid the price .

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  6. Totally with you up until the last paragraph.

    I’d amend that to read, I want to end this by putting on record my disappointment for living in a country which ravages public services, dragged us out of the EU with significant uncertainty of what’ll happen next, and is approving vaccines for a pandemic it has badly managed (herd immunity) while many other EU nations are requiring more evidence of safety and success rates. That’s just for starters !

    I do not expect 2021 to be better than 2020, but I hope it will be. I will continue to behave responsibly and help protect the NHS, my family, neighbours, colleagues for our mutual benefit. I will not intend to vaccinate just yet as I just do not trust this government.

    2020 reminded me that life is precious, and more important than work and bills. If I make it through, the aim is to leave probation for a profession I’m happy with, for better pay, and for an employer that respects and values me. Alternatively, I may just pack it all in and become a travelling nomad.

    Happy New Year

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  7. Because of this incomepetent shower far too many souls won't have the chance of experiencing 2021.

    Number of deaths with COVID-19 on the death certificate:

    Total @ 18 December 2020 = 82,624. That was 2 weeks ago.

    At the current rate it will undoubtedly be in touching distance of, if not beyond, 90,000 by 31 Dec.

    Important Note: this outrageously incompetent govt have now decided *they* know better than anyone about everything, including Pfizer & administering vaccines. Pfizer state VERY CLEARLY that the period between patients receiving parts 1 & 2 of their vaccine must not be longer than 3 weeks. Bungle & co think 12 weeks should do nicely.

    "In a statement Pfizer said: “Pfizer and BioNTech’s phase three study for the Covid-19 vaccine was designed to evaluate the vaccine’s safety and efficacy following a two-dose schedule, separated by 21 days. The safety and efficacy of the vaccine has not been evaluated on different dosing schedules as the majority of trial participants received the second dose within the window specified in the study design... There are no data to demonstrate that protection after the first dose is sustained after 21 days."

    Just when you thought Bungle & co couldn't fuck things up any more than they already have... they're now going to negate the only known effective tool we have to beat the virus.

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  8. Presumably these two documents are important for the use of the Pfizer-BionTech vaccine in the UK?

    (1) https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/regulatory-approval-of-pfizer-biontech-vaccine-for-covid-19/conditions-of-authorisation-for-pfizerbiontech-covid-19-vaccine

    "This temporary Authorisation under Regulation 174 permits the supply of identified COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine BNT162b2 batches, based on the safety, quality and efficacy data submitted by Pfizer/BioNTech to MHRA in the period from 1 October to 2 December 2020"

    (2) https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/944544/COVID-19_mRNA_Vaccine_BNT162b2__UKPAR___PFIZER_BIONTECH__15Dec2020.pdf

    "How is BNT162b2 used? The pharmaceutical form of this medicine is an injection. Following dilution with saline, BNT162b2 is given to you by an authorised practitioner as an intramuscular injection into the muscle at the top of the upper arm (deltoid muscle). You should receive two doses (each 0.3mL) given 21 days apart."

    "The use of COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine BNT162b2 should be in accordance with official guidance."


    So, regardless of the efficacy of Dose 1, that is NOT what the MHRA approved.

    Surely, therefore, the govt's wildcard decision to vary the use of the vaccine has several important consequences? For example, would it be fair to say:

    (a) the vaccine is not being used per the MHRA licencsing arrangement, thus is being used outwith the approved licence?

    (b) the variation of the use outwith the licence arrangement invalidates any claims against Pfizer/BionTech?

    (c) the variation of use outwith the licensing arrangement compromises the patient's consent to treatment, which was obtained based upon the approved method of "two doses (each 0.3mL) given 21 days apart" ?

    (d) who 'carries the can' when this variation of use goes wrong? UK government? The four horsemen aka CMO's? The GPs? The local NHS?

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    Replies
    1. I notice that on 30 & 31 December 2020,the UK Govt made amendments to their web pages relating to the Pfizer/BionTech vaccine, so they now read:

      "You should receive two doses (each 0.3mL) given **at least** 21 days apart"

      Liars, cheats, charlatans.

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    2. I notice that Dr Richard Vautrey, Chair of the BMA Practitioners Committee has been on CNN taking the government to task over being given a days notice to cancel the second jabs from Monday and rebook other patients for first jabs. I've never seen this normally mild-mannered senior Methodist so angry, particularly for being asked to break trust with his patients. I sense an impending ugly row due to hasty decisions being made with little or no consultation. Yet another PR disaster that could have been avoided. Disaster snatched from victory.

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    3. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2021/01/01/health/coronavirus-vaccines-britain.amp.html

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  9. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/dec/31/the-view-from-europe-uk-taken-over-by-gamblers-liars-clowns-and-their-cheerleaders

    Sounds familiar.

    2021 has got to start with a purge of the charlatans if we are to give the future any chance of being positive. I am hopeful of significant change in the foreseeable future, but it will be painful in the first instance.

    It wouldn't surprise me if it included the compromise of the Pfizer vaccine deployment resulting in a national medical disaster; the covid-19 death toll in the UK rising & rising & rising; the EU arrangements resulting in the collapse of the UK financial services; & Trump setting fire to Iran, thereby unleashing the warmongering extreme right in Israel.

    I would really prefer none of these things to happen but ... I think we're on track for it, so in the wake of such unmitigated catastrophe the scales may fall from the eyes & we might finally have a chance of unseating the unhinged.

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  10. So yes, around 1,000 people is a tiny handful in the context of a nation's population, but given that just one superspreader is all it takes, these fuckwits are likely to be the reason any and all lockdown, tiering or other forms of infection control fails in the UK:

    "Parties were broken up in Brighton, Sheffield, Essex, London and Lancashire ... officers had objects thrown at them when they broke up an illegal gathering of hundreds of people at a church in Thorndon Park... Officers later broke up a party of about 100 people at an abandoned warehouse in Brentwood... A woman was issued with a £10,000 fine for organising a house party for 100 people in Sewardstonebury, Epping Forest... Deputy Chief Constable Terry Woods, of Lancashire police, described a party for 80 people at a rural property in Hyndburn, near Blackburn as "a shocker"... In Sheffield, police said they broke up a gathering of 70 people in a flat big enough for six people... In east London, police in Newham shut down a “large unlicensed music event” at a building in the Royal Docks... "

    As one emergency doctor put it just before Xmas, "they have blood on their hands".

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  11. I wish you Jim, a happier new year than the last. I do hope that you keep this going, and I guess it is very taxing on you, but me and others log on regularly like mussels to chains of seaweed, recognising a source of nutrients. There be pearls in they mussels.
    Yours from Cornwall :)

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  12. UK is sovereign, free trading, world-leading, our prosperity is in our hands now, blah, blah, blah. But its not like the EU ever truly hampered the UK's ability to do whatever the fuck it liked to make money:

    * As we approach the sixth anniversary of the conflict in Yemen, let's consider the fact that the UK has supplied more than £5bn of weapons to Saudi Arabia since the war began... a conflict in which Saudi-led forces have conducted more than 20,000 air strikes - that's one airstrike every two hours, every single day, for the last four years.

    * In September a UN report claimed that the UK and other countries providing arms to Saudi Arabia were potentially “aiding and assisting” war crimes by the country’s forces in Yemen.

    * Almost a quarter of a million people have died in Yemen’s war, the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) said on its website on Tuesday, confirming the huge toll from a conflict that has ravaged Yemen’s economy and created the world’s worst humanitarian crisis.

    https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/12/1078972

    Most - if not all - of those UK arms dealers bankrolled Brexit & Johnson.

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  13. "According to data obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, force was used 59.1 times per 100 inmates in the year from April 2019. The last such figures, published in 2011-12, showed force used about 27 times per 100 prisoners."

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/jan/03/deep-crisis-british-prisons-use-force-inmates-overcrowding

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2020/apr/30/uk-prison-officers-punching-inmates

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2020/oct/04/covid-rules-in-prisons-blocking-rehabilitation-say-uk-campaigners

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  14. Does anyone know if office's are open in Tier 4 areas? What happens if we decide not to actually go in but are happy to work from home?

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    Replies
    1. https://www.gov.uk/guidance/tier-4-stay-at-home#going-to-work

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    2. This guidance confirms that:

      "Public sector employees working in essential services, including childcare or education, should continue to go into work."

      Therefore I would assume that unless there was a shielding/medical reason for not going in that failure to do so would be dealt with in the usual way for not going to work without good reason, ie they would face disciplinary action.

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    3. Anyone who can work from home should work from home. Only front line staff to be at work and then limited face to face work

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    4. I spoke with Boris this morning & he clarified things very nicely:

      "Anyone who can work from home can work from home; anyone who can work at work can work at work; anyone else will probably be infected, infectious or in hospital or an MP. But I MUST make it clear, children can go to school unless they can't. All of these crystal clear instructions may change after we've had an especially yummy working breakfast, lunch and dinner. Or maybe they won't change. But they probably will. So, I think I've made myself very clear (again) and I'll see you all later at the next briefing with more changes. Or not. But there probably will be some."

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    5. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/probation-failings-leave-public-at-risk-from-freed-sex-offenders-96hr9b0fj

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    6. firewall

      the opening lines suggest it might be a rehash of existing reports:

      "The public are being regularly placed at risk from sex offenders and other criminals because of serious probation failings, according to a damning report.

      Justin Russell, the chief inspector of probation, warned of “potentially disastrous consequences” because prisoners released on licence are not being properly supervised.

      He accused probation officers of a “lack of professional curiosity” and being “over-optimistic” about the progress of released offenders, meaning they were routinely failing to assess the risk they posed."

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    7. Well that is due to the de professionalised nature of the work . All stats and PC notes no interaction plus covid.

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  15. As we realise yet another world-beating pivotal moment which will undoubtedly defeat the virus (except we might have to change the doses, change the delivery, change the criteria, change our underpants)...

    UK Govt: "Go to school, you're perfectly safe"

    UK Govt: "The government could bring in even tighter coronavirus measures for England within 24 hours, Matt Hancock has indicated, saying the NHS is “under significant pressure” from fast-rising case numbers across the country. And Hancock said he was “incredibly worried” about another variant of the virus, seemingly originating in South Africa, which some scientists have said could be resistant to current vaccines."

    UK Govt: "Despite all of these fast-rising numbers, keep going to school and work and travelling; you'll be fine. Trust us. We'll give you the vaccine upside down to counter the southern hemisphere effect of the South African variant."

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  16. Unless I missed it there has been little reporting here of officers or others who have contracted covid where it is known covid exists or was in the workplace. I heard of one prison where all the omu staff were off but nothing is said officially.

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    Replies
    1. Where did test and trace go? Has it quietly faded away like all the taxpayer money Serco made disappear?

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    2. All recent HMPPS data seems to apply to prisons only

      https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/hmpps-covid-19-management-information-weekly

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