1. The main justification for TR, and why it got Liberal Democrat support, is to deal with short term prisoners being released 'with just £46 in their pocket'. Well, we now know courtesy of Vera Baird QC, PCC for Newcastle, that this 'won't be happening any time soon' according to her private contact with Jeremy Wright MP, Prisons and Probation minister.
2. Potential bidders for TR are driving such a hard bargain with the MoJ that the deadline for Prime Contractors has been extended to June 30th according to the Clinks website.
3. In the timeframe remaining, there's no way all the contracts can be signed, sealed and sorted before the next General Election.
4. There are persistent rumours that some package areas only have one bidder, two at the most and some no bidder at all.
5. Any idea of 'Payment by Results' has been ditched - another justification for TR put forward to Parliament - it's all 'Fee for Service' now.
6. The Major Projects Authority has exempted TR from having a 'Delivery Confidence Assessment' due to 'commercial interests'. This is very convenient because the word is no one is confident at all.
7. The NPS/CRC staffing split is hopelessly wrong, resulting in huge imbalances in staff and massive caseloads for some colleagues.
8. Some offices are in 'meltdown' due to sickness, resignations and non-viable staff allocations.
9. The MoJ deny there is a serious staffing issue, that there has been a mass exodus from the profession and that caseloads are rocketing.
10. Nationally there are at least 500 vacancies for Probation Officers according to an FOI request by the Labour Party.
11. Cases being split between NPS and CRC are 'falling through the cracks' due to lack of background information or indeed any information being shared.
12. The police are refusing to provide background information on Domestic Violence cases being dealt with by CRC colleagues.
13. PSR's are not being prepared in time or of sufficient quality due to staffing shortages, new bureaucratic procedures and lack of pre-cons and offence details from CPS.
14. The Public Accounts Committee confirm that there are significant risks with TR and yet the MoJ intend pressing on regardless.
15. TR is not going to save any money. The senior civil servant has admitted that they have no idea how much it's all going to cost, just that it's all got to come out of the MoJ budget somehow.
16. The potential contractors know absolutely nothing about probation at all. This has become obvious from meetings between them and CRC's and confirmed by personal conversations from within the MoJ.
17. The new Probation Institute has attracted just 70 members.
(Please feel free to add more, amend or suggest references and I'll publish an update)