Rhetoric v Reality
I write this from a position that perhaps doesn’t fit comfortably into the current political narrative. I am a probation practitioner. I am also a victim of crime.
So when the Government tells me victims are “front and centre” and that we now have the “toughest supervision in British history”, I want that to be true. But my professional experience makes me deeply concerned about the gap between the rhetoric and the reality.I know what public protection looks like from the other side of the desk. It is rarely a slogan. It is having enough time to notice something has changed, join information together, recognise an escalating pattern, make the home visit, speak to police or children’s services, ask another question and act before another incident creates another victim.
Technology can assist with that. It cannot replace it.
And this isn’t simply a frustrated workforce saying so. On 24 September HM Inspectorate of Probation reported that persistent staffing shortages and workforce instability were directly affecting the quality and consistency of risk management. In 54% of inspected cases, critical information was not sufficiently interrogated, analysed or translated into robust risk-management activity. Days later, the electronic-monitoring inspection warned of a “false sense of assurance” if technology was not matched by effective professional practice. Then Government announced the “toughest supervision in British history”.
Please reconcile those things.
As a victim, I do not want a false sense of assurance. I don’t want to hear that somebody is being monitored if there isn’t sufficient professional capacity to understand and act upon what that monitoring reveals. And I don’t want victims used to justify increasingly restrictive measures while the professional infrastructure required to make those measures protective is struggling.
As a practitioner, I worry that probation is increasingly being redesigned around how many people the system needs us to absorb rather than what effective supervision actually requires. Please do not mistake control for public protection, surveillance for supervision, contact for intervention or administrative compliance for effective probation.
I don’t simply want the person who harmed me punished. I want fewer people harmed. That means meaningful rehabilitation matters to me too. Work around domestic abuse, drugs, housing, mental health, relationships and behaviour matters. Professional judgement matters. Having enough time to know the person you supervise matters. Victims and rehabilitation are not opposing interests. Effective rehabilitation is victim protection when it prevents the next offence.
So by all means tell me how many people are tagged, how much money has been invested and how many staff have been recruited. But also tell me whether practitioners have enough time to do the work properly, whether experienced staff are staying, whether workloads are manageable and whether the quality of risk management is improving.
You cannot solve a prison capacity crisis by quietly creating a probation capacity crisis. And you cannot protect victims by weakening the professional service upon which so much of that protection depends.
I say that as somebody delivering probation. I also say it as somebody who knows what being a victim means.
If victims really are “front and centre”, listen to this one.
Anon
Victims are not "front and centre". These changes that the fools have designed do not consider victims at all. If anything it will create more victims.
ReplyDeleteI understand what you’re trying to say here, but I’m not sure that victims should be described as being “front and centre” of probation.
DeleteSurely the person subject to probation should be front and centre. Probation is built around the person being supervised, whether released from prison or the court. That does not mean victims are unimportant, but we need to be careful about framing rehabilitation as something secondary or equal to. This gets to the heart of probation’s current identity crisis, preoccupied with the language and processes of risk management, while unclear what effective and meaningful rehabilitation actually looks like.
Many people on probation will themselves have been victims of crime. The categories of victim and perpetrator are not always as distinct as our language suggests. For me, effective probation starts with the person on probation. Understand them, and that is not putting rehabilitation before victims, it is understanding them not just their crime.
So I understand the sentiment behind “front and centre”, but for me that is an headline and actually illustrates the identity crisis probation is struggling with.
And that is the contradiction at the heart of it. You cannot call a policy “victim-centred” simply because the word victim appears repeatedly in the press release.
ReplyDeleteVictim-centred policy should ultimately be judged by outcomes: does it actually reduce the likelihood of somebody else being harmed?
If you increase the number of people being managed in the community, increase the demands placed upon an already overstretched Probation Service and increasingly rely upon surveillance and restriction to provide reassurance, then you had better be absolutely certain the infrastructure underneath it is strong enough to manage the additional risk.
HM Inspectorate has just told Government that it isn’t.
That is what makes the timing of the “toughest supervision in British history” rhetoric so extraordinary. This wasn’t a warning buried in some ancient report that Government could claim to have inherited. It was published a week before these changes came into force.
Nobody can say with certainty that these changes will create more victims. But neither should Government be allowed to imply that tougher restrictions automatically mean greater safety.
Restriction is not prevention. Monitoring is not intervention. And knowing that something has gone wrong is not the same as having prevented it from going wrong.
A tag may tell us that somebody entered a prohibited area. It cannot address the thinking, behaviour, addiction, instability, anger, desperation or circumstances that took them there. That requires people, professional skill, effective services and time.
If Government genuinely wants to put victims front and centre, the test is not how tough probation sounds. It is whether probation has the capacity to reduce harm.
Real victim protection isn’t just responding after somebody has been harmed. It is doing everything possible to prevent the next person becoming a victim in the first place.
And that requires far more than a tag.
There is one argument from Ministers that needs challenging every time it is repeated. When concerns are raised about releasing prisoners earlier — particularly domestic abusers and the risk to known victims — we are told that prisons are full and asked what we would say to the victim of tomorrow’s crime if their attacker could not be imprisoned because there was no cell available.
ReplyDeleteThat is an extraordinary way to frame the issue.
Why are we being asked to choose between today’s known victim and tomorrow’s hypothetical victim?
Of course prison capacity matters. Of course courts must be able to imprison somebody tomorrow when custody is necessary. Nobody sensible is arguing otherwise.
But creating that capacity by releasing somebody earlier does not make the risk attached to that person disappear. In some cases it transfers that risk straight back into the community where an identifiable victim may already be frightened of precisely what happens next.
Imagine saying to that victim: we recognise your abuser still presents a risk to you, but we need the cell in case somebody else commits an offence tomorrow.
How is that “putting victims front and centre”?
This isn’t an argument that nobody should ever be released early. It is an argument against pretending that prison capacity somehow settles the public-protection question. It doesn’t. Capacity is the Government’s problem to solve; risk is not something it gets to redistribute between victims.
And repeatedly posing the question as “what else could we do?” is particularly galling because the prison crisis did not materialise overnight. Governments determine sentencing policy, prison capacity, investment in probation, rehabilitation, treatment, housing support and the wider policies that influence how many people enter and return to the criminal justice system.
There is another uncomfortable contradiction here. We are told that releasing prisoners is necessary to ensure cells remain available for dangerous offenders, while probation is simultaneously expected to manage more risk in the community. Yet unlike a prison cell, probation capacity apparently has no hard limit. When prisons reach capacity it becomes a national emergency requiring legislation. When probation reaches capacity, another case is allocated.
So stop presenting this as a moral choice between protecting the victim of today and protecting the victim of tomorrow.
Government has a duty to protect both.
If its criminal justice system has reached the point where protecting one victim requires knowingly increasing the exposure of another, that is not an argument in defence of the policy.
It is an indictment of how badly the system has been allowed to deteriorate.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c6rr4gv8xxzeo
Deleteoh!
ReplyDeletehttps://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crq5nd9dgz68o
"Prime Minister Andy Burnham has scrapped controversial plans to curb some jury trials.
Sir Keir Starmer's government had introduced proposals to allow judges to make the sole decision on cases that would lead to a sentence of less than three years.
The Ministry of Justice (MoJ) said only complex fraud and financial offences would be judge-alone - and it proposes that thousands of medium-level crimes should stay with volunteer magistrates, who sit without a jury.
Justice Secretary Alex Norris said he had changed course after hearing the "strength of feeling" about the original proposals."
And what about the *strength of feeling* expressed by probation practitioners & other criminal justice professionals?
Prisoner tag ‘real-time’ alerts not rolled out nationally before end of year.
ReplyDeleteUnder the current system, probation officers only get notified during normal office hours when a tagged offender is in proximity to a victim.
Thousands of domestic abuse victims will have to wait until the end of the year to receive “real-time” alerts when their offenders enter protected zones around them…
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/10/03/prisoner-tag-real-time-alerts-not-before-end-of-year/
Im sorry, is this correct or poor journalism? The new system as far as I can see does NOT give real time alerts, Probation Officers still have to actively log in and check each person's data? I can't see any info that suggests a flashing klaxon will be sounded so PO's can slide down the Bat Pole into actio ...happy to be corrected?
DeleteYou are correct 14:51 this alone chasing up tag data can be time consuming and is subject to the vagaries of staff shortages at the EMS….
DeleteThe latest reporting raises a much bigger question than whether an alert arrives in “real time”.
ReplyDeleteWhat happens next?
Government increasingly talks about electronic monitoring as though detecting a breach and protecting somebody from it are almost the same thing. They aren’t.
Technology can establish that somebody has entered an exclusion zone, breached a curfew or displayed a concerning pattern of movement. From that point onwards, public protection becomes a human and organisational task. Somebody has to see the information, understand its significance in the context of that particular case, assess the immediacy of the risk, connect it with everything else known about the person and decide what needs to happen.
That distinction becomes rather important when Government is simultaneously releasing people earlier, expanding tagging and reassuring victims that offenders will be subject to unprecedented levels of control.
HM Inspectorate of Probation’s early findings on electronic monitoring make uncomfortable reading in that context. Major violations were properly raised and explored in only 46% of applicable cases. Sufficient attention was given to protecting actual or potential victims in only 45%. Inspectors found monitoring data was frequently underused and warned explicitly of a “false sense of assurance” where electronic monitoring is not accompanied by active oversight and professional judgement.
Those findings pre-date the huge expansion now being promised.
The full joint inspection into electronic monitoring is due later this month and deserves far more attention than another announcement about how many people will be tagged. I hope it answers some very basic questions about the operational system surrounding this technology, because that is where its protective value ultimately lies.
Who owns the information when a serious alert is generated? What is the escalation route? How resilient is that route outside ordinary working arrangements? How quickly can information become intervention? And what happens when several agencies each reasonably assume somebody else is dealing with it?
Because the important measure isn’t how quickly a computer knows that somebody has crossed a line on a map.
It’s how quickly the criminal justice system can stop them crossing the next one.
I don't see this gov care about anything. Victims of the new crimes and those past. It is being widely touted immigration adds 25% greater sexual offending from males . That alone should raise concerns to how free to roam some people are allowed. Add the murders and associated crimes without our input says they do not care.
ReplyDeleteWhat happens next? Does it matter?
ReplyDeleteAs with The Offender Management Act 2007 (a UK Act of Parliament that restructured the delivery of probation services across England and Wales), trusts, tr, reset, unification, new progression, etc etc etc, it matters not whether anything *actually* works or is in any way effective; all that matters is that the politicians & whitehall wonks involved got their own way, received pats on the back from chums & enjoyed wielding their power over others.
What happens next is that the media collusion, the pr spin & the repetitive phrases are simply used to berate, belittle & dull the senses of the public & critics alike.
And another 'more interesting thing' will happen to distract attention:
"Glastonbury tickets sell out in 42 nanoseconds - harry & meghan to headline Pyramid Stage - trump shits his pants again - buena vista social club is eradicated from google maps - napo named in national media report"
willm shakspeare, ,Measure rMeasure:
ReplyDelete"The miserable have no other medicine / But only hope." (Act 3, Scene 1)
Head of romeo's favourite techbro organisation, Palantir [a fictional, magical "far-seeing" crystal sphere from J.R.R. Tolkien’s The Lord of the Rings], during a Sept. 24, 2026, appearance on the podcast "MD Connects:
ReplyDeleteBillionaire Peter Thiel said, "If you're evil, you're at least competent. And if you're evil, you're not bad. And therefore, maybe you're actually kind of good because you're at least getting something done."
Nuff said?
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2026/oct/04/uk-justice-secretary-alex-norris-prisoners-tagged-england-wales
ReplyDeleteNoerth-East newspaper: "Justice Secretary Alex Norris has been unable to say how many prisoners freed early from jail have been tagged.
ReplyDeleteOfficials said there was a presumption that all criminals released early would be fitted with GPS tags, but Mr Norris said it was “too soon” to have the numbers.
The first wave of releases began on Thursday, with nearly 5,000 prisoners set to be freed in stages over the next year as the Sentencing Act 2026 comes into force.
Asked how many of those released so far had been tagged, Mr Norris told the BBC’s Sunday With Laura Kuenssberg programme: “I don’t have that figure today, it only happened on Thursday.
“You know, there can be a bit of a lag. We don’t have that number. But you know, we’re very candid about who’s leaving prison and when they do.”
Asked if he knew if released domestic abusers have been tagged or not, he said: “It would be too soon to know that.
“We’ve been talking to every victim to to offer them the chance to say what controls they’d like to see over that individual.”
“You know, there can be a bit of a lag."
ReplyDeleteAye, plenty of old lags, eh norris?
note to editors:
Delete"The term dates back to the early 19th century. It originally referred to convicts returning from penal transportation to Australia. The verb "lag" meant to transport or send to penal servitude."