I've been trying to get my head around exactly what's been going on over the last few weeks and to be honest my head has been spinning. Looking back, it began to feel like we were on a roll heading towards the end of November with a series of themes around morality, encouraged by the on-going BBC Radio 4 Reith Lectures. I guess it was the dreadful news of a further attack on a PO in Oxfordshire, following on from the summer Preston stabbing.
For me it crystalised my generally perceived way in which probation must be being viewed by the clientele - we're the enemy, in no way being part of any solution, just an uncaring route to recall, and that must surely put everyone working in this field in danger. Knife arches, body cameras, security guards are clearly not any kind of answer if we're seen as the problem. Why on earth can't intelligent, sensible people in authority see that abandoning our core aim of assisting rehabilitation by endlessly focussing on 'risk' puts us all in danger and does nothing to reduce the prison population?
I think it was the blog post 'What Probation Has Become' at the end of November that cemented the upward trajectory both in site visits and contributions, rising to 1,500 and things have been steadily climbing ever since, despite festive activity providing distractions. Recent contributions have been stunning and I sense returning to some of the heady days of the TR fight when I know the MoJ got quite worried about the traction the blog was getting. But that's the problem now, it doesn't get the same traction for a whole host of reasons. It's quite clear that this site goes completely unnoticed by newer colleagues and especially PQiP students. This is not a particularly hopeful message on the private Facebook PQiP Training page boasting 2,800 members:-
"This group is to support PQUIP’s as such we need to ensure the group remains positive, supportive and helpful at all times. In order to do so posts may not be allowed if they are aimed at organisation change or policy, specific workload issues, specific colleague or caseload issues."Academics at the three training Universities take no interest in it, but then we know all are contractually bound by the MoJ/HMPPS to say nothing publicly that might question probation policy or practice! It still surprises me though at the lack of 'professional curiosity' because any google search of 'probation' brings up this blog almost as quickly as HMPPS itself and there's some very good stuff on here.
Of course we've sadly lost key supporters, particularly in Parliament and both the PI and Napo voices are simply not strong enough. Although it's pretty clear to many of us what any sustainable solution might be, despite the appalling performance of the top HMPPS/MoJ team at last week's PAC hearing, appart from a couple of notable exceptions, committee members seem pretty clueless to me. I loved the input from one particularly useless member who 'had done some research at the weekend' and was effectively slapped down by the Chair. Like most people, parliamentarians including my MP haven't a clue or interest in probation and we still lack any kind of authoritative voice. But I don't want to sound down-hearted because I still believe it could all come right - remember the immortal words of Harold Macmillan "events dear boy, events".
Seeing as we know how keen Lord Timpson is on AI being able to sort much of probation's staffing problems by freeing up a day a week for more cases, I've finally understood why the blog viewing figures rocketed by several millions last year. It seems 'bots' based in Vietnam were trawling all over it, operated by poorly-paid humans, scooping up all the fine words in order to inform 'Large Language Models' that all AI platforms require. So, it seems we've all unwittingly helped enormously with the AI revolution.
I'll end this bit of reflecting with a word of extremely grateful thanks to all the many faithful readers, supportes and contributors who on a daily basis help keep my faith in probation returning to being a noble and worthwhile endeavour and prevent me from feeling it's time to pack it all in. If you are up for the ride, then so am I. So, on that note and back to the fray, this from overnight:-
We’re Normalising FailureLet’s stop pretending. Those of us inside probation can see what’s happening every day. The reality is we’re normalising a level of failure that would once have triggered emergency action.
Most cases are now managed at the bare minimum. Real rehabilitative work is rationed. Risk management has become thinner, more administrative, and more about covering organisational exposure than actually keeping people safe. And this didn’t start with Covid.
TR didn’t just reorganise probation – it broke its professional spine. It stripped out experience, fragmented delivery, replaced values with contracts, and taught a generation of staff that survival mattered more than craft. Covid just accelerated the damage.
Yes, the pandemic disrupted face-to-face work. But what we’re dealing with now isn’t a temporary hangover. It’s structural: unsafe workloads, chronic vacancies, constant churn of inexperienced staff, and a system that quietly depends on goodwill and moral injury to keep functioning.
Unification was meant to be the reset. It wasn’t. We didn’t get a stable, well-resourced public service. We got a bigger version of the same fragility – with better branding. You can see it in the gaps:
– RARs that quietly translate into “telephone check-ins”
– Commissioned services that are commissioned but not really available
– Risk management done fast, not well
– Public protection framed as compliance, not craft
We’ve shifted from professional judgement to defensive practice. From “What does this person need to change?” to “What do I need to record so I don’t get blamed?” That’s not what any of this was meant to be. Staff aren’t the problem. They’re holding up a broken system with skill and integrity that goes largely unrecognised. The danger is that we start to accept this as normal. Because once failure becomes normal, recovery stops being possible.
Probation needs honesty, investment, and the return of trust in professional practice. And those of us inside the system know exactly how far away that is.
"I tell them it's basically a factory job with a human conveyor belt, transporting people from prison, to court, to the community then back to prison. We wrap them up nicely and label them High, Med, Low to ensure correct delivery and obviously we have to hit daily targets and also check for any damaged goods. So basically the criminal justice version of Amazon as we always accept returns and constantly introduce new ways to trap people into thinking we're offering a decent service."
At the moment working in probation is like being the crumple zone in a car crash —
ReplyDeleteabsorbing all the impact so the system looks like it's still intact. My self care is making time to cry in the car, so my family don't worry so much about me.
Anon 09:54 That's horrid to hear - but I fear your experience is not uncommon. Take care.
DeleteOn the contrary, Jim. The problem is that both long-serving and newer staff are actively discouraged, effectively threatened, into silence if they don’t conform to the HMPPS line. Napo has become complicit, the Probation Institute refuses to take a meaningful stance, and even the Probation Journal circles the same academics and the same funding-friendly themes over and over again.
ReplyDeleteThere is a very real fear among probation staff that even being seen to read this blog could result in disciplinary action. I’ve occasionally posted links to your articles in the Napo magazine comments, yet none have ever been published. Branches and members should be doing the same in their own newsletters, protected under the legitimate umbrella of union activity.
Right now, this blog is the only place where authentic, unfiltered views on probation practice and reform can be aired. What I cannot understand is why those in the various Facebook groups never share links to your posts there, but I suspect it is due to the same union / academic stance.
I don’t know what the way forward is, but what I do know is that your work matters. Please don’t give up.
/ Probation Officer
“basically the Avengers, but with worse pay.”
ReplyDeleteLet’s be honest: Probation isn’t the Avengers. The Avengers had Samuel L. Jackson as Nick Fury, sharp, informed, strategic, and actually protecting his team. Probation has… well, nothing of the sort. If anything, we’re a bunch of accidental villains who signed up to do good, only to discover our own leadership has been manipulating us into propping up a broken, harmful system. And we’ve been ground down so much we can barely lift ourselves out from under their boot.
Just look at the carnage. TR? A national humiliation. Unification? It reinforced the chaos rather than fixing a single thing. Reset? An incoherent management fantasy. And now, because apparently we’ve not suffered enough as an international outlier, we’re told there’ll be more structural changes in 2026. No explanation, no clarity, not even a half-convincing lie. Just vague hand-waving and the expectation that staff will swallow it like everything else.
Probation is an outright shit-show. We’re drowning in unprecedented trainee numbers, picking up the fallout from a prison system bursting at the seams, and trying to operate without any credible leadership. Meanwhile, anyone above SPO level seems incapable of saying anything remotely meaningful about rehabilitation, you know, the supposed core of our profession.
I could go on. There’s a lot more to say, and I still promote the Advise, Assist and Befriend I once guest blogged here about. But with leadership this absent, this hollow, this indifferent, you reach a point where you wonder why you’re even bothering to speak. Because they’re certainly not listening.
/ Probation Officer
Superheroes - haha. I cringe every time that yearly flurry from the Butler Trust rolls out calling us “Hidden Heroes”. We don’t need to be hidden, not when probation officers spend every day dragging people to appointments, running in and out of court, scrambling for housing, begging mental-health teams to take someone in, and more.
DeleteWe might have been the justice system’s heroes once, back when we had credibility and before they turned us into enforcement agents and dumped the blame for prison overcrowding onto probation recalls.
Let’s pick something that reflects reality, where probation sits: not in a shining tower but under leaders who distort the truth, weaponise spin, and demand loyalty while everything burns around us.
The Seven (The Boys): a team controlled by Vought, a corrupt, manipulative corporation that hides the rot behind glossy PR.
Task Force X / Suicide Squad: coerced, controlled, pushed into danger by an unaccountable agency that treats them as expendable.
The Thunderbolts: a team sold to the public as heroes while being led by someone with entirely different motives.
Anon 10:20 Oh I'm officially persona non grata at Napo and indeed at the three training universities, MoJ, HMPPS and probably PI as well. I guess that tells you everything you need to know and how shit-scared they are all of any semblance of open debate or difference of opinion. Having said that, I can confirm that I've personally addressed two Napo Branches in recent time and been credited with one being significantly revived in terms of both membership and interest. I'm not giving up as long as there are enlightened people interested in coming along for the ride.
ReplyDeleteI've always said, there needs to be a major row - you know Post Office scandal-type row in order to get everyones attention. "Events dear boy, events" in the end will do for both MoJ and HMPPS.
DeleteIt’s only a matter of time. Probably why the RPDs all run into retirement every time there’s a huge structural change. Between them, HMPPS and the MoJ, they have a lot to answer for. We’ve just witnessed two stabbings too, that’s on them.
DeleteJB many of us who took exception to napos incredibly dishonest chairs hand picked and incredibly the most stupid of people have destroyed the service by allowing an inept general secretary to do nothing than take massive pay. The whittle away at us has been supported by him from moj. We have nothing now. 1020 is right. Being persona non from Napo believe is a privilege many of us attacked by the central corruption feel vindicated we took our stand. Winters patison Robinson rendon Lomas elliot the list goes on but this grouping saw the most dramatic decline in probation defence. The common thread to these incompetents the scam boss Mr Lawrence . These people collectively ducked from doing anything to defend the service.
Delete11:38. It’s been the problem with Napo for a long time. Yes, I’ve heard of branches that are genuinely credible and willing to stand their ground. But my own experience has been the opposite - branches and reps who should never have been in those roles, rubbing shoulders with SLT, cutting back-room deals to head off grievances against their mates, in-fighting against each other and members, and using their union badge to make situations worse, not better.
ReplyDeleteAnd the truth is, this isn’t some local anomaly, it mirrors exactly what we see in Napo at the national level. Is it any wonder the so called union and professional association of probation has no real clout?
Clearly you have real experience and knowledge of such matters. I have seen such things and the incredible realisation that central Napo brief against people who they don't want. The Napo central has sold off it's building using the money for what. Weakened our legal structure from Thompson's by a back door strategy. While the Rogers fellah so grossly dishonest destroyed our national reps panel to save money to weaken our members. He got a salary to destroy us. We had some of the best reps in those ex probation people almost all of them independent of the Napo politics.. There are many local issues in branches and infighting because the strategic process is not understood and reps without any training believe they have a new status. There are these corruptions amongst a general consensus to fight back but that voice has been contained. It is not accident using teams instead of meetings. Baffle ordinary folk with Napo rules union guidance and national non event motions via NEC committees. All invention to slow a concerted event. It is a fact that Napo Central have continued to destroy members direction and have consistently managed the business to maintain their own salaries until whatever endings come. Napo has noncentral office no proper building structure no meeting place or team activity staff are all online yet there are plenty of them what do they do what tasks are they engage full time on exactly. It is time members understood we are sunk without a real union leadership and the NEC will have to consider their complacency in destroying probation. It is more than just protecting jobs we are a social asset which is more than just jobs. The ethos culture and intention is what recruits the sort of people this organisation once was. Napo do not care or understand and the selected fools they used fell into to be officials of something than guardians of what we do. Absolute narcissists.
DeleteFully in agreement. The fact that Napo branches, individually and collectively, refuse to challenge any of this shows just how rotten the entire structure has become. It’s simply not fit for purpose. I remember when the London branch tried to push back on some of these issues; instead of supporting them, Napo central essentially turned London into a pariah. And even then, it’s not as if London was some shining example either, just marginally less dysfunctional than the rest.
Delete100% makes you actually wonder what do they do? Where has all the money gone? What does NAPO have anymore accept the NAPO journal that no one has any time to read. I just bin it and that in the packaging without even opening it.
DeleteNapo’s Probation Journal is basically an independent revenue stream propped up by advertising, but I couldn’t tell you what benefit any of us actually get from it. I’ve had a copy dated 2020 sitting on my desk for about three years, fully intending to read it and still haven’t bothered. The rest are sitting in unopened packages. Every now and then there’s the odd article by a practitioner that genuinely reflects probation work, but let’s be real: only the big-name academics are allowed to properly criticise HMPPS. The rest are busy pushing their own pet approaches, usually based on a few months of probation experience they had eons ago before escaping into academia to tell us and those 1000 probation trainees we keep hearing about how to do the job they couldn’t stick with.
DeleteVery very true
DeleteJust checked Napo have 12 staff but not allocated to a real working office. You cannot get pet insurance on their website page either. The officer group are voluntary and there is a vacancy perhaps anarchist might look into it. We all know this Napo mess is major part of getting probation lost forever. Events says JB well let's hope events come good .
DeleteEvents yes well now I am thinking Napo is not a true accountable union and will look into their conduct as a union I cannot see what 12 staff are doing given their website is out of any date for entries. They have an HR business manager membership assists and lord knows what else . It is very suspicious all of a sudden a house of cards.
Delete12 staff. That’s probably £500k a year easily. For what exactly?
DeleteThe emotional labour that's keeping Probation alive -
ReplyDeleteThe public will never see the emotional cost borne by the workforce:
• staff working late into the evening to catch up on recording,
• taking the trauma of cases home with them,
• absorbing MAPPA and safeguarding pressure with limited support,
• sacrificing their wellbeing to avoid “letting people down”,
• functioning as informal social workers, crisis managers, housing brokers, therapists, mediators, and risk specialists, all at once.
Probation still functions not because of the system, but despite it. It functions because frontline staff refuse to let people on probation fall through the cracks.
What the service cannot admit, but staff know too well is that the greatest risk to probation is not individual officers. It is the organisational denial of its own structural weaknesses.
When the system is broken, staff become the shock absorbers.
When the shock absorbers fail, because they are human, the system disciplines them rather than repairing itself.
This is not sustainable.
It is not ethical.
And it is not what probation was built on.
If probation wants to survive as a profession grounded in humanity, rehabilitation and public protection, it must stop treating staff as disposable buffers for organisational risk. It must acknowledge the truth that practitioners already live every day - that Probation officers are keeping the service afloat, at immense personal cost, with little recognition, dwindling support, and the constant threat of blame when the impossible finally becomes unachievable.
Well said - I am not able to provide solutions beyond encourage people to get together and focus on a few specific issues rather than evrything that needs fxing and thus achieving less.
DeleteVery true indeed.
DeletePosted on another page:-
ReplyDelete"So, SPEAR training is to be piloted with probation staff, yet we will still be paid significantly less than our prison colleagues. This is an admission that probation staff now face many of the same risks as prison staff, and therefore should be renumerated appropriately."
The well-meaning view of a Prison Officer on Facebook:-
Delete"Probation officers and staff have to do a tough and dangerous job. They do not join to potentially roll around on the floor with violent ex-prisoners. I speak with PO's and PSO's daily, so I know what these guys have to deal with. There should be trained Security Officers, minimum of 2, at eached risk assessed office. These Officers should be properly trained and warranted (powers of arrest) with PPE including stab vests, batons, pepper spray and rigid bars. Just teaching people self defence is not enough or is putting mickey mouse security staff from some agency. My thoughts are with my Probation colleagues across the UK, you do an amazing job."
Another view:-
Delete"Maybe if they all actually helped ALL people they manage they'd be better treated and respected. Nobody should face abuse in their workplace but Nobody in authority should abuse anyone under their charge either. It's sadly such a broken system that these things happen, then these measures are being taken.."
Probation has always been about building and nurturing relationships.
ReplyDeleteReading the comments recently it's clear there isn't any symbiotic relationships to be found anywhere. There's fractures between everyone, POs, clients staff, management, union, prisons, MoJ, it's everywhere, and no-one is happy.
I've heard probation described as a family in the past. If that's true it's a very, very troubled one.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/crime/probation-service-sentencing-bill-martin-jones-b2864582.html
'Getafix
Thanks for posting - it will need a lot of the media to make a repeated big issue of the points raised because the article concludes with the expected usual meaningless ministry of Justice guff - what will blog readers do - it seems unlikely there will be any cordinated action from elsewhere.
Delete"A Ministry of Justice spokesperson said: “This government inherited a Probation Service under immense pressure and this has placed too great a burden on our hardworking staff.
“We are fixing it, with 1,000 trainee probation officers recruited last year and plans to recruit at least 1,300 more by April.
“We are also increasing the probation budget by up to £700 million over the next three years and investing in new technology to reduce admin so staff can focus on work that reduces reoffending, helping to protect the public as part of our Plan for Change.”"
With Britain’s crisis-hit prisons overflowing, ministers are pushing through plans for tens of thousands more criminals to be electronically tagged and punished in the community.
DeleteBut with the Probation Service in a state of perpetual crisis – with too few staff handling too many cases and units missing 74 per cent of targets – fears are growing it is being “set up to fail”.
Martin Jones, the chief inspector of probation, said the reforms – currently progressing through parliament under the Sentencing Bill – are an “opportunity to transform our justice system”.
But he warned they risk “collapsing public confidence in probation” if they are implemented wrongly, adding that tagging will not stop criminals from reoffending unless they have enough trained staff to help them turn their life around.
“I think there is a danger that unless the government thinks very, very carefully about how it deploys probation resources... we will set up the Probation Service to fail and that is clearly unacceptable,” he told The Independent.
Unions representing beleaguered probation officers also fear a promised £700m cash injection to meet the extra demand will be swallowed up by expensive contracts with private tagging firms, rather than used to bolster frontline staff.
It comes after the government spending watchdog, the National Audit Office (NAO), found the service faces a shortfall of 3,150 full-time staff next year – even if it meets ambitious recruitment targets.
Meanwhile police chiefs are preparing for a 6 per cent spike in reported crime in the first year of the reforms, as they demand £400m in additional funding to cope.
Mr Jones said all 30 probation delivery units he has inspected since he was appointed as the probation watchdog in January last year have been rated as “inadequate” or “requires improvement”.
Moreover, performance has worsened since the Probation Service was brought back under public control in 2021, according to a damning NAO report published last month.
The service is currently only meeting 26 per cent of targets set by His Majesty’s Prison and Probation Service (HMPPS) and overworked staff are still reeling from repeated early release schemes, which have put them under immense strain.
Tania Bassett, national official at NAPO, which represents thousands of probation officers, warned members have “no faith” that the £700m of extra funding promised by 2028 will reach frontline services.
“We fear that it will go – pretty much all of it – to private tagging companies and private IT firms for this push on AI,” she told The Independent.
“There’s been absolutely no promises in terms of that being invested in frontline staff or premises – a number of which are barely fit for purpose.
“I don’t think any of that money is going to go where it’s critically needed. I think it’s going to be tying a bow around what’s already falling apart.”
Peers from the House of Lords’ Justice and Home Affairs Committee have branded the government’s funding plans “inadequate” as they raised questions over how staff will monitor up to 22,000 extra offenders expected to be tagged in the community.
In a letter to prisons minister Lord Timpson last month, peers said they had “major concerns” over the ability of both probation and private contractors to handle the increase – which is the largest in a generation.
DeleteIn 2023, Serco was awarded a £200m contract for tagging in England and Wales, despite previously being fined £19.2m for billing the government for tags for offenders who had died, were in jail or had the left the country.
A Channel 4 investigation earlier this year found some offenders were being left untagged for weeks. Serco said it was improving its performance “at pace”.
Peers warned a “near doubling” of those tagged represents an “enormous challenge” considering existing pressures on the system.
“The share of the much-trailed £700m over the next four years that goes into staff hiring, development, and retention is almost certain to be insufficient,” they wrote.
“We believe without major changes, the system risks being overwhelmed and the Probation Service is being set up to fail.”
Ms Bassett agreed tagging can be a useful tool but said it should “never be seen as a panacea”.
“If used correctly it can help, but on its own it doesn’t offer any rehabilitation or address the causes of crime,” she added. “It has to be used in conjunction with other types of supervision.”
Mr Jones agreed that tagging “simply gives you information” – but does not stop somebody committing an offence.
He called for investment to be focused on supporting frontline staff, boosting drug treatment services and ensuring that people leaving prison have somewhere to live.
“We know that if somebody leaves prison and they’ve got nowhere to live, the chance of them reoffending doubles immediately,” he added.
“If there’s a choice to be made here, I’d rather have more probation officers trained and able to do that very difficult job that we're asking them to do, of working with people, understanding the risk they pose, and giving them the help that they need to turn their lives around.
“And tags play a role in that, but they are simply a tool, and ultimately, what you need is more probation staff to do that very difficult job.”
Mr Jones said overstretched staff have “performed heroics” responding to recent early release schemes which have seen inmates freed after just 40 per cent of their sentence to ease prison overcrowding.
“You probably had people working deep into the night, into the weekends, to ensure the arrangements worked about as well as was possible in the circumstances,” he added.
“And I think we owe them an enormous debt of gratitude as part of that. But if you look beyond that story of success, you’re just heaping more pressure on people that are already overworked.”
He said trying to fill vacancies in the Probation Service is like “trying to fill a leaking bucket” as staff continue to leave in their droves amid soaring workloads. This has also left the service with an inexperienced workforce, with some offices in which newly qualified probation officers are the most senior staff on the team.
DeleteThe government has pledged to recruit 1,300 more probation officers by April next year, but this still leaves them 3,150 short, according to the NAO’s report.
And given it takes at least 19 months to train a probation officer, it will be a long time before new recruits are ready to take on full caseloads.
The inspector, who previously spent nine years leading the Parole Board, believes the government needs to reduce the scope of some probation supervision to help them cope. This includes focusing efforts on the first six months after release, the highest risk offenders and those trapped in destructive cycles of reoffending.
He urged ministers: “Don't simply ask them [probation staff] to work harder and harder and longer and longer, because that’s one of the reasons why I think the Probation Service is in a perpetual crisis, because you’re always asking them to go the extra mile and sometimes you’re going to run out of road if you do that.”
Ms Bassett said her members feel “gaslit” after it emerged HMPPS had miscalculated how many staff were needed to monitor offenders by over 5,000 roles in 2024. As a result, many probation officers faced performance reviews while being expected to complete unrealistic workloads.
Meanwhile, unions are still waiting for a response to their 12 per cent pay claim for next year. They say workers earning £30,000 have faced a real terms pay cut of £21,060 as salaries have failed to keep pace with inflation.
Ms Bassett added: “If they don’t prioritise the workforce there won’t be a workforce. The staff have been undervalued and under-recognised.”
A Ministry of Justice spokesperson said: “This government inherited a Probation Service under immense pressure and this has placed too great a burden on our hard-working staff.
“We are fixing it, with 1,000 trainee probation officers recruited last year and plans to recruit at least 1,300 more by April.
“We are also increasing the probation budget by up to £700m over the next three years and investing in new technology to reduce admin so staff can focus on work that reduces reoffending, helping to protect the public as part of our Plan for Change.”
“Martin Jones, the chief inspector of probation, said the reforms – currently progressing through parliament under the Sentencing Bill – are an “opportunity to transform our justice system”.”
DeleteDidn’t Chris Grayling say something similar?
“ “We are fixing it, with 1,000 trainee probation officers recruited last year and plans to recruit at least 1,300 more by Apri”
Is this the same 1000 trainee probation officers we’ve been hearing about every year since 2019?
Yup! Standard response to everything.
DeleteI'm getting a bit fed up with that boilerplate press release from the guys and gals in the MoJ press office. So for a bit of fun I wrote them a new one:
ReplyDeleteA Ministry of Justice spokesperson said:
“This government would like to reassure the public that we are not responsible for the current state of the Probation Service and have no intention of accepting responsibility for it in the future.
“While we note that staff are working extremely hard, this is not something we see as a problem. There are always more young people who are optimistic enough to believe our recruitment campaigns and available to replace those who burn out, leave, or quietly disappear.
“We have recruited 1,000 trainee probation officers and will recruit at least 1,300 more, because quantity has always been a suitable substitute for experience.
“We are also committing up to £700 million over the next three years, which will be carefully distributed across management structures, consultancy contracts, rebrands, pilot programmes and digital solutions, with minimal risk of being spent on anything that might materially improve working conditions.
“Our priority remains the production of reassuring headlines, ambitious buzzwords and the appearance of control, regardless of the practical consequences on the ground.”
Ends