Wednesday, 22 April 2020

A Surprising Turn

What Is a Revolving Door?

The term "revolving door" refers to the movement of high-level employees from public-sector jobs to private-sector jobs and vice versa. The idea is that there is a revolving door between the two sectors as many legislators and regulators become lobbyists and consultants for the industries they once regulated and some private industry heads or lobbyists receive government appointments that relate to their former private posts.


Wikipedia notes:-

The movement of senior civil servants and government ministers into business roles is overseen by the Advisory Committee on Business Appointments (ACOBA), but it is not a statutory body and has only advisory powers.

Well spotted by a reader yesterday:-

Appointment of Ian Porée, Executive Director at Her Majesty’s Prison and Probation Service.

Seetec Group, the UK’s largest employee-owned provider of justice, employability and skills services, announces that it has appointed Ian Porée, currently Executive Director for Community Interventions at Her Majesty’s Prison and Probation Service (HMPPS), as its new Chief Executive Officer. Ian will take up his position on 1 June 2020 and will report to Seetec’s Group Chief Executive Officer, John Baumback.

Ian has a wealth of experience in executive leadership, gained in both the public and private sectors. Before taking up responsibility for Community Interventions at HMPPS, he did a secondment as the director of Strategic Commissioning for the National Citizen Service Trust and was the Director of the [Transforming] Rehabilitation Programme at the Ministry of Justice. He has held senior commissioning and operational policy roles with the National Offender Management Service and HM Prison Service.

Commenting on the appointment, John Baumback, Seetec Group Chief Executive Officer, said:

“I am delighted that Seetec has been able to attract someone of Ian’s clear capability and experience. He is passionate about improving social justice, unlocking people’s social and economic potential and is determined to help those who need it most.

“This appointment is another important milestone as we continue our recent transition to employee-ownership. We know that as shareholders in our collective success, attracting the right talent into our business will help us realise the opportunity we have to create greater social value, not just as employee-owners but for the communities and clients we serve. I look forward to working with Ian and our newly established employee council to shape the next chapter of the company’s future.”

Responding to his appointment, Ian Porée, said:

“As the largest employee-owned provider of skills, employability and justice services in the country, Seetec has a unique opportunity to develop an alternative supplier model to the public sector. Where the traditional outsourcing model has at times fallen short of expectations for our public services, I am excited by the potential Seetec has to embed a values-first and innovative approach to supporting some of the most vulnerable in our communities.”

Ian Porée’s appointment has been approved by the Department under the Government Business Appointments rules. He will continue to support HMPPS until June 1st as it deals with the operational challenges posed by the Covid-19 pandemic.


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So, where did Mr Poree come from and what mark has he left on the once proud gold standard public service we used to love and cherish?

Ian is the Director, Rehabilitation Services – Commissioning & Contract Management for the National Offender Management Service in the UK. He was recruited into the public sector in 2007 specifically to apply his experience having served in executive leadership positions in several private sector business services organisations across various industries and markets, led significant market development activities across national and international markets, led mergers and acquisitions and major service transformations. Ian studied as a research scientist and completed an Honours Degree – Bachelor of Science (cum laude) in Chemistry from the University of Natal, Durban, and has a business management diploma. He also has an MSt Applied Criminology, Penology and Management from the University of Cambridge. He also served as a 2nd Lieutenant in the South African Defence Force.

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This is from LinkedIn:-

An experienced strategic executive director with a proven track record of leading innovation and change, shaping markets and making an impact through leading technology enabled change in complex operating environments across geographies. Successfully delivered national scale transformation programmes to challenging timescales. Executive and Ministerial level stakeholder and partner management skills across public, private and not-for-profit sectors. A resilient, values-based leader who is passionate about serving and investing to make a positive difference to people's lives. A unique combination of commercial, digital and innovation skills used to effectively change and shape sectors and markets. Currently leading work on the application of machine augmentation and Artificial Intelligence to public services.

Director : [Transforming] Rehabilitation Programme 
HMPPS Oct 2012 - Nov 2014

The Ministry of Justice set up a major reform programme, the [Transforming] Rehabilitation Programme, to deliver the Secretary of State’s priorities in relation to rehabilitation of offenders, and appointed Ian Poree as the Programme Director to lead this work. The role was to design, manage and lead this major government priority. This is a large scale programme reforming around £1bn of annual expenditure, impacting over 18,000 employees, 250,000 offenders and the outcomes directly affect the lives of citizens in England and Wales.

The purpose of the programme was to design and deliver major reforms to the way in which offender management services are delivered, including the detailed design and delivery of a model in which services are delivered on the basis of payment by results, ensuring that the market and delivery structures were in place to support the model. The reforms did not seek to only drive costs but also to continuously improve public protection and reducing reoffending outcomes.

The Director had responsibility for all elements of the programme including the restructuring of the Probation Service, the market competition of offender services in the community, the new commercial and service models including payment mechanisms, the commissioning and procurement process and engagement of the public, private and voluntary sectors to ensure a robust market was put in place.

The Director was the primary contact for the Secretary of State, the Departmental Board and other senior officials in the Ministry for all aspects of the programme. This Director was the Secretary of State’s principal adviser on this programme. This was a cross-Departmental programme and the Programme Director was required to work closely with colleagues in Procurement, Operational Delivery, Finance, Legal, Strategy and Policy, to deliver the reforms.

The Programme was successfully delivered within the tight timelines set by ministers and was delivered within the approved budgets.

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Director : Commissioning and Commercial
NOMS June 2007 - Nov 2012

On the Board of NOMS, this role had responsibility for commissioning adult offender service across England and Wales. This included developing and overseeing the implementation of the Agency’s commissioning and commercial strategy, which deployed evidenced based, outcome focused, costed service specifications, to protect the public and reduce reoffending while delivering the orders and sentences of the courts.

The Director had responsibility for NOMS commercial and market development activities encouraging innovation, efficiency and effectiveness across public, private and voluntary sectors, and leading the NOMS Competition Programme competing over £2.5bn of business. This included leading the major programme specifying, benchmarking and costing all services across prison and probation.

The Director had responsibility for leading the implementation of key Governments reforms known as the “Rehabilitation Revolution”, which include introducing Payment by Results for offender services, growing work in prisons, intensive and competed community payback, transformed electronic monitoring and restorative justice services. The Director tool the lead for the Agency’s relationships with key co-commissioners where other government departments commissions over £1bn of services for offenders. These key relationships resulted in considerable improvements in services for offenders in the areas of employment support (DWP), skills (BIS/SFA) and health (DH/NHS).

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Just a quick reminder from the BBC website in 2017 as to how things were going at NOMS:-

The man in charge of prisons and probation in England and Wales received a bonus of up to £20,000, it has emerged. Michael Spurr was given the payment in 2016-17 on top of his annual salary of around £150,000. The bonus was "awarded" the previous year when the chief inspector of prisons said many jails were "unacceptably violent and dangerous".

The Prison Officers Association (POA) called it "scandalous and shameful". Steve Gillan, general secretary of the POA, told BBC News: "It's absolutely disgraceful that those who are overseeing a crisis in the prison service have been rewarded with performance bonuses. "It's scandalous that they're being rewarded for failure."

In his latest assessment of prisons in England and Wales, released this week, chief inspector of prisons Peter Clarke said he was "appalled" at conditions in many jails and said there had been a "staggering decline" in standards in youth custody centres.

Justice Secretary David Lidington also admitted in an open letter that the probation system was "falling short" of expectations and that measures designed to support prisoners on release did not "command the confidence" of the courts.

The bonus payment is disclosed in the annual report from the National Offender Management Service (NOMS), which was published on Thursday. Mr Spurr was chief executive officer of NOMS until April, when the government agency was re-named HM Prison and Probation Service, which he now heads. The report revealed that in 2016-17 the 55-year-old was paid £145,000-150,000 and received a bonus payment of £15,000-20,000, along with pension benefits of £25,000. 


Phil Copple, the chief operating officer and interim director of probation, Colin Allars, director of probation, and Ian Porée, director of commissioning, were given bonuses of £10,000-15,000.

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So, what was Mr Poree doing before he joined the MoJ and proved so attractive to them in their desire to improve a gold standard public service? This again from LinkedIn:-  

Client Executive Medas
1998 - 2007 

Ian represents the new breed of leader in this fast changing world of collaborative business. He leads with authenticity and integrity, focusing on trust, transparency and the relentless pursuit of mutual value with his clients, partners and colleagues. He is an innovator with a passion for change. His life was deeply influenced by the radical social transformation in South Africa through the 1980's and 1990's.

Ian has a track record of deep innovation in business and technology services. He holds a patent in environmental recycling technology and has developed highly successful industry shaping supply chain partnerships.

As part of the EDS UK Public Sector client facing leadership team, Ian has been directly engaged in developing and communicating the new UK Public Sector Strategy.

The company Ian leads, Medas, is one of the UK's largest providers of outsourced financial transaction processing. Medas has been providing this service to the BBC for more than 7 years. Medas was established in 1997 as a jv between PwC and EDS to streamline finance processes across the BBC.

In early 2003 Ian successfully lead a small team to complete the acquisition by EDS of the PwC share of Medas. In his time at the helm of Medas, Ian and his team have successfully exceeded annual targets for 3 consecutive years.

Ian has worked at EDS for 6 years during which time his primary focus has been on the BPO market. He has been responsible for developing complex growth opportunities, aligning the internal focus and developing solutions that advance the client's strategic objectives. Ian is based in London and has operated across the UK, Europe and South Africa. The primary industries he has worked in have been Govt, Fin services and manufacturing.

Ian also jointly lead the successful EDS bid for the Post Office Card Account opportunity: an 8 year BPO contract (electronic benefits payments - card services, transaction services and customer interaction centres.

Specialties: Business Strategy, Business Innovation, Outsourcing, Business Process Outsourcing, Change, Alliances/Partnerships/Collaboration.

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We'll end this round-up of Mr Poree's biography with an interview with Civil Service World from January 2019:- 

The Executive Director of Community Interventions at HM Prison and Probation Service talks to EY's Radhika Chadwick about the challenges facing the MOJ and its approach to Big Data and technology

Ian Porée: As with most public services, we have some common pressures. The first is the continued demand for and increasing complexity of our services, and the second is the ever-increasing expectation of those who receive these services and on whose behalf we deliver them, the public.

We also have the challenge that we are still trying to deliver better outcomes for less with rigid, bureaucratic organisation. Our Victorian buildings are a good metaphor for our information infrastructure. We collect enormous amounts of information about the work we do, the services and the people in our care or under our supervision. But despite having this information, we have a considerable way to go to extract the full value and insight embedded in that information to help us make better decisions and to help us deliver better outcomes for citizens.

We feel the increasing pressures on our system, but we aren’t yet unlocking the enablers and tools which could help us better adapt to the ever-changing circumstances we face, and make more cost-effective use of the public money that we have available. Our physical and information infrastructure requires significant modernisation.

Do you see technology and data playing a role in the preventative agenda in the social justice space?

The simple answer is “yes I do”. Typically, when someone finds themselves in our part of social justice system, there are so many practical things in their life that haven’t worked very well. They are likely to be unemployed, homeless, in debt, suffering with mental health conditions, and struggling with addiction. We could offer insights from our data that could help people navigate a path out of social exclusion. We could help people reintegrate into society by designing services with enabling tools that work for each person in the local community they live in. We would make better use public money, and essentially keep society safer by preventing harm.

If you look back on the government use of technology, it hasn’t always been an easy journey. What are the challenges in actually getting this part of the public sector to embrace the potential of new technology in different ways?

I think it’s fair to say, e are a good example of a part of the public service who have found technology-enabled change both slow and expensive to deliver - but this does not need to be the case. It’s just that in the past when we have deployed technological change, we have made it very complicated and have delivered it in very traditional, large-scale technology programmes that often end up taking a lot longer than we thought.

We need to re-engage our staff with tools and technologies that make a difference to their day-to-day ways of working. Then in the background we need to refresh and modernise the technology infrastructure that we are using. One of the things we have been doing is engineering our data in a way that makes it accessible to whatever tools and technologies we want to use. The data can then be used to solve business problems. This is user-driven digital design.

One large scale deployment we’ve undertaken is augmented decision support. This is a predictive algorithm which effectively makes a judgement about the level of serious harm that someone is likely to present. It is deployed to over a quarter million people and supports decisions made by front line professionals. It gets to the very heart of what we are here to do, which to is to protect the public. We are very alert to the important ethical considerations of using algorithmic decision support because these tools are built from our historical data. We don’t forget the fact that we are making judgements based on the learning from some historical data that includes unequal treatment or bias.

How are you approaching Big Data?

We haven’t historically regarded our very large data sets as being valuable assets. We’ve considered the data as something we have to archive somewhere. We need to rethink what these huge data sets represent. A large private organisation would think of this data as an incredible asset and that would allow them to serve their customers even better. We have an opportunity to use this data to help us make better decisions for the citizens we serve.

I also strongly believe that more of this data should be more publicly available. This is public data and we should be more open and more transparent. If our data sets were more available to a much broader range of people, they could help us solve some of the complex problems in our system. We should be treating this data strategically, it’s a valuable asset and we should make it more available (obviously taking appropriate care to anonymise the data) to organisations and people who want to come and help us improve.

Why is diversity and inclusion important to you personally?

On a very personal level, I grew up in South Africa where I saw an extreme example of how unequal treatment had damaging consequences for society. But the country, under the incredible leadership of Nelson Mandela, took the view that it could be a different kind of a place, a “rainbow nation” as he described it. It could set a direction for the future which meant all people could be given equal opportunity to be who they want to be. Celebrating people’s differences but working to a common future for all.

I have been working within the prison and probation services for over a decade now, I have seen some real improvements. At a very practical level, the board that I joined 10 years ago was underrepresented by women. But now we have many more women and we are a better board because of it, we have better conversations, we have different perspectives applied to the complex work we do.

Why is diversity and inclusion so important to your organisation?

There has been legitimate criticism that criminal justice system has unequal treatment at all stages of the system, from when people first encounter the police and courts, all the way through to the prison and probation services. We as an organisation pay a lot of attention to this inequality. We have significant work underway, to understand every point at which there is a possibility that our system, may make a decision which would treat people in an unequal way.

We are a large scale employer of over 45,000 staff and thousands more in our supply chains, and our staff should be representative of the people we serve. That matters in so many different ways in terms of the legitimacy of our authority. We have quite an ambitious program to continue to align our workforce over time, so we look a whole lot more like the people we serve.

How are you making sure that your organisation pays enough attention to these issues?

We’ve set up a new governance which is specifically looking at the interface between the new digital tools and data. We have specifically started conversations about the ethical standards we will set for any of the big augmented decisions. That’s a really important way of making sure we effectively govern decisions which ultimately will affect citizens.

What would you like your legacy to be from a diversity and inclusiveness perspective?

If we continue on the path of remaining open to diverse views and opinions, if we are willing to suspend our predisposed view of how things should work, and see things from new perspectives, being open and transparent, if we continue to be humble and to properly listen to other’s points of view, then that’s the space that we will learn and grow from – and I will continue to be very proud to be part of it.


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Ed : It's probably noteworthy that such is the contempt and derison in which the Transforming Rehabilitation Programme [TR] is now held, there are clearly attempts to re-write history by referring to the epic omnishambles merely as the 'Rehabilitation Programme'. For clarity and historical accuracy I've amended the text. 

Tuesday, 21 April 2020

Latest From Napo 209

I notice the latest Napo magazine was published online yesterday and I've selected the General Secretary's message, together with the results of the training survey. Interestingly, the latter seems to bear out messages that have been consistently voiced on here over many months.  

Ian Lawrence Writes

At the time of writing we are just ending week three since the C-19 Social Distancing policy was announced by Government. Napo members can be proud of the vital contribution they have made in maintaining vital public services across all of the 23 employers where we are represented during what is an unprecedented emergency. 

The nature of the C19 Pandemic means that the death in service of employees in any of these areas will understandably cause consternation amongst their immediate colleagues, along with the profound sense of loss and condolences that I know will be shared by all of our members. The announcement of four such losses in just over a 7 day period in late March/early April brings the scale of the danger that we are all facing into very sharp focus.

Our families and communities across the UK are showing astonishing unity in the national campaign to defeat this brutal foe. It’s also the case that some of our members have volunteered to support the NHS or are offering help to vulnerable people in their locality. It’s just as I would have expected.

Whilst it’s welcome to see the Government, the CBI and the TUC working together, there will be many of our members who hold strong views about the adequacy and timing of certain aspects of the Governments response to the impending threat back at the turn of the year. Over these last few weeks the failure to have a testing regime in place for essential international travel has been laid bare when examining the startling infection and subsequent death rates, and the decision to allow the Cheltenham Racing Festival to go ahead now looks just plain stupid. Moreover, the pitiful stories of workers struggling to secure adequate Personal Protection Equipment to care for people in Hospitals and Care Homes mean that serious questions need answering. 

Next week sees the first remotely run meeting of the TUC, and as a member of the General Council I will be adding our tribute to the astonishing bravery of all NHS workers and other employees in a range of professions who have been providing essential services in the midst of the crisis.

I will be reminding the TUC that our members in Probation (NPS and CRC) Cafcass and PB Northern Ireland, are also in that category. Thats why the Napo Officers and the HQ team have been focussing our efforts to do all that we can to help ensure that our members are afforded the necessary social distancing protections, equipment and support from your employers that you rightly demand. We are listening carefully to what you are telling us and we are keeping members up to date on what Napo is doing and what is happening across Probation and Family Courts with almost daily bulletins. We will continue to do so and members are also directed to the dedicated webpage https://www.napo.org.uk/covid-19- emergency to find out more. 

At Napo HQ itself, we are observing PHE guidelines with regard to our own staff and we are still very much there for members – contact us at info@napo. org.uk or leave a message on the voice mail. Both these points of contact are being monitored continually during the day and we will get back to members as quickly as we can. 

Hopefully it will not be too long before we some normality restored to the way in which we live and work. Meanwhile, I wanted to convey my personal best wishes to all of our members and your loved ones in these testing times.

Ian Lawrence


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HUGE RESPONSE TO TRAINING SURVEY

Earlier this year Napo launched a training survey on behalf of the Training and Professional Committee. After over 200 responses Tania Bassett National Official has brought together the findings and the key themes that came out of the responses. Napo will be sharing these findings with HMPPS training to help influence training going forward for all grades of staff. 

General training and refreshers 

It is quite clear from the survey that training arrangements in the NPS and CRCs vary significantly with the majority of CRCs offering very little training to staff. Of concern one of the key issues raised by CRC members is the lack of safeguarding training. A critical subject for effective public protection, an area that many CRCs have been criticised for in HMIP reports. This was also a key area in Wales following transition and required large numbers of staff to be trained up once thy moved to the NPS. Napo will be putting pressure on CRCs to ensure that all staff are up to date with safeguarding training as a matter of urgency. 

A common theme amongst both NPS and CRC members was how training is delivered. 90% respondents said that they didn’t like online training. “It is really isolating. I would prefer training with my peers so you can discuss the issues and how it affects practice”.

Many members concurred with this view saying they would much prefer classroom based training. This enables you to ask questions of the trainer, clarify understanding and allow open discussion with colleagues. This is especially important for less experienced staff who still need to bed in the learning into their practice and who can learn a great deal from more experienced colleagues. 

Some grades such as Band 2 said they had received no training at all in the last 12 months. This was true of NPS and CRC staff in that grade. Given that a Vocational Qualifcation had been developed for administrators it is disappointing that this has not been rolled out on a regular basis. 

PQiP 

Napo received overwhelming feedback that PQiP is not fit for purpose and is too short to be comprehensive enough. Napo has already been made aware that PQiP learners and newly qualified staff do not feel confident or qualified enough to carry out the role. This is acute in the NPS where newly qualified offices are going straight into a full caseload of high and very high risk cases. PQiP trainers who responded to the survey agreed with these comments which is very worrying going forward. This is especially concerning given staff are now working at home and do not have the benefit of their experienced colleagues. With just one day of training on working with people who commit sexual offences many members have raised concerns that this is leaving staff, clients and the public at risk. Combined with an apparent lack of risk management this could seriously undermine public protection and confidence in probation. 

Again the issue of distance online learning came under criticism with a lack of university time negatively impacting on learners. It seems very clear that HMPPS need to do a complete review of the PQiP training and Napo will urge them to take these findings into consideration. One trainer told Napo that the actual training manual is now out of date. 

For some learners in the CRC we are seeing a real disconnect to how the training should be delivered and the reality. Lack of access to NPS placements and in some cases no mentoring or support will leave CRC learners at a real disadvantage. Retention will be very difficult in these areas if members feel they have been left to their own devises. Members are acutely aware of the risk of SFOs and their own vulnerability as well. 

OASys 

Since its introduction Napo members have been critical of OASys as a none user friendly and a clunky assessment. It wasn’t a surprise then to see this assessment tool come under fire in the survey. Many respondents felt that it was out of date as an assessment tool and just too long winded and repetitive. However, it was great to get some constructive feedback. Many members feel that the tool could be more useful if practitioners could update a section without having to update the whole document. This has become more of an issue since staff began working from home and an instruction was issued to review all OASys assessments. Napo agrees with members that this could easily be done if only one section could be updated to reflect the crisis rather than the entire assessment. Probation needs to modernise and a full review and investment in OASys could be a really positive move for practitioners. 

On behalf of the Training and Professional Committee Tania Bassett, National Official, and Keith Stokeld, National Vice Chair will take up these issues directly with HMPPS. The committee wants to thank members for taking time to complete the survey and we will keep you up to date on our progress.

Monday, 20 April 2020

Official - We Are Up Shit Creek!

Blimey! A right-leaning Sunday newspaper that's owned by an ageing overseas right wing millionaire publishes a highly-critical article about a lying right wing government and prime minister. Proper journalism you might think? Hell, yes! Why, it's such a shock to our democratic system of unwritten constitutional checks and balances I notice civil servants were instructed to spend all day Sunday preparing an official government response:-    

Response to Sunday Times Insight article

A Government spokesman said: ‘This article contains a series of falsehoods and errors and actively misrepresents the enormous amount of work which was going on in government at the earliest stages of the Coronavirus outbreak.’

‘This is an unprecedented global pandemic and we have taken the right steps at the right time to combat it, guided at all times by the best scientific advice.

‘The Government has been working day and night to battle against coronavirus, delivering a strategy designed at all times to protect our NHS and save lives.

'Our response has ensured that the NHS has been given all the support it needs to ensure everyone requiring treatment has received it, as well as providing protection to businesses and reassurance to workers.

‘The Prime Minister has been at the helm of the response to this, providing leadership during this hugely challenging period for the whole nation.’

On the Sunday Times claims:

Claim – On the third Friday in January Coronavirus was already spreading around the world but the government ‘brushed aside’ the threat in an hour-long COBR meeting and said the risk to the UK public was ‘low’.

Response – At a very basic level, this is wrong. The meeting was on the fourth Friday in January. The article also misrepresents the Government’s awareness of Covid 19, and the action we took before this point. Health Secretary Matt Hancock was first alerted to Covid 19 on 3 January and spoke to Departmental officials on 6th Jan before receiving written advice from the UK Health Security Team.

He brought the issue to the attention of the Prime Minister and they discussed Covid 19 on 7 January. The government’s scientific advisory groups started to meet in mid-January and Mr Hancock instituted daily coronavirus meetings. He updated Parliament as soon as possible, on January 23rd.

The risk level was set to “Low” because at the time our scientific advice was that the risk level to the UK public at that point was low. The first UK case was not until 31 January. The specific meaning of “public health risk” refers to the risk there is to the public at precisely that point. The risk was also higher than it had been before - two days earlier it had been increased “Very Low” to “Low” in line with clinical guidance from the Chief Medical Officer.

The WHO did not formally declare that coronavirus was a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) until 30 January, and only characterised it as a global pandemic more than a month later, on 11 March. The UK was taking action and working to improve its preparedness from early January.

Claim - ‘This was despite the publication that day of an alarming study by Chinese doctors in the medical journal The Lancet. It assessed the lethal potential of the virus, for the first time suggesting it was comparable to the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic, which killed up to 50 million people.'

Response - The editor of the Lancet, on exactly the same day – 23 January - called for “caution” and accused the media of ‘escalating anxiety by talking of a ‘killer virus’ and ‘growing fears’. He wrote: ‘In truth, from what we currently know, 2019-nCoV has moderate transmissibility and relatively low pathogenicity. There is no reason to foster panic with exaggerated language.’ The Sunday Times is suggesting that there was a scientific consensus around the fact that this was going to be a pandemic – that is plainly untrue.

https://twitter.com/richardhorton1/status/1220606842449072128?s=19

Claim - It was unusual for the Prime Minister to be absent from COBR and is normally chaired by the Prime Minister.

Response - This is wrong. It is entirely normal and proper for COBR to be chaired by the relevant Secretary of State. Then Health Secretary Alan Johnson chaired COBR in 2009 during H1N1. Michael Gove chaired COBR as part of No Deal planning. Transport Secretary Grant Shapps chaired COBR during the collapse of Thomas Cook. Mr Hancock was in constant communication with the PM throughout this period.

At this point the World Health Organisation had not declared COVID19 a ‘Public Health Emergency of International Concern’, and only did so only 30 January. Indeed, they chose not to declare a PHEIC the day after the COBR meeting.

Examples of scientific commentary from the time:

Prof Martin Hibberd, Professor of Emerging Infectious Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, said:

“This announcement is not surprising as more evidence may be needed to make the case of announcing a PHEIC. WHO were criticised after announcing the pandemic strain of novel H1N1_2009, when the virus was eventually realised to have similar characteristics to seasonal influenza and is perhaps trying to avoid making the same mistake here with this novel coronavirus. To estimate the true severity of this new disease requires identifying mild or asymptomatic cases, if there are any, while determining the human to human transmission rate might require more evidence.”

Dr Adam Kamradt-Scott, Senior Lecturer in International Security Studies, University of Sydney, said: “Based on the information we have to date, the WHO Director-General’s decision to not declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern is not especially surprising. While we have seen international spread of the virus, which is one of the criteria for declaring a PHEIC, the cases in those countries do not appear to have seeded further local outbreaks. If that was to start to occur, it would constitute a greater concern but at the moment the outbreak is largely contained within China.”

Claim - 'Imperial’s Ferguson was already working on his own estimate — putting infectivity at 2.6 and possibly as high as 3.5 — which he sent to ministers and officials in a report on the day of the Cobra meeting on January 24. The Spanish flu had an estimated infectivity rate of between 2.0 and 3.0, so Ferguson’s finding was shocking.’

Response - Infectivity on its own simply reveals how quickly a disease spreads, and not its health impact. For that, it is necessary to know about data such as associated mortality/morbidity. It is sloppy and unscientific to use this number alone to compare to Spanish flu.

Claim - No10 ‘played down the looming threat’ from Coronavirus and displayed an ‘almost nonchalant attitude…for more than a month.’

Response - The suggestion that the government’s attitude was nonchalant is wrong. Extensive and detailed work was going on in government because of Coronavirus, as shown above.

Claim - By the time the Prime Minister chaired a COBR meeting on March 2 ‘the virus had sneaked into our airports, our trains, our workplaces and our homes. Britain was on course for one of the worst infections of the most insidious virus to have hit the world in a century.'

Response - This virus has hit countries across the world. It is ridiculous to suggest that coronavirus only reached the UK because the Health Secretary and not the PM chaired a COBR meeting.

Claim - 'Failure of leadership' by anonymous senior advisor to Downing Street.

Response - The Prime Minister has been at the helm of the Government response to Covid 19, providing the leadership to steer his Ministerial team through a hugely challenging period for the whole nation. This anonymous source is variously described as a ‘senior adviser to Downing Street’ and a ‘senior Downing Street adviser’. The two things are not the same. One suggests an adviser employed by the government in No10. The other someone who provides ad hoc advice. Which is it?

Claim - The government sent 279,000 items of its depleted stockpile of protective equipment to China during this period in response to a request for help from the authorities there.

Response - The equipment was not from the pandemic stockpile. We provided this equipment to China at the height of their need and China has since reciprocated our donation many times over. Between April 2-April 15 we have received over 12 million pieces of PPE in the UK from China.

Claim - Little was done to equip the National Health Service for the coming crisis in this period.

Response - This is wrong. The NHS has responded well to Coronavirus, and has provided treatment to everyone in critical need. We have constructed the new Nightingale hospitals and extended intensive care capacity in other hospitals.

Claim - Among the key points likely to be explored are why it took so long to recognise an urgent need for a massive boost in supplies of personal protective equipment (PPE) for health workers; ventilators to treat acute respiratory symptoms; and tests to detect the infection.

Response - The Department for Health began work on boosting PPE stocks in January, before the first confirmed UK case.
Discussions on PPE supply for COVID-19 began w/c 27 January (as part of Medical Devices and Clinical Consumables), with the first supply chain kick-off meeting on 31 January. The first additional orders of PPE was placed on 30 January via NHS Supply Chain’s ‘just-in-time contracts’. BAU orders of PPE were ramped up around the same date.
Friday, 7 February, the department held a webinar for suppliers trading from or via China and the European Union. Over 700 delegates joined and heard the Department’s requests to carry out full supply chain risk assessments and hold onto EU exit stockpiles where they had been retained.
Monday, 10 February, the department spoke with the major patient groups and charities to update them on the situation regarding the outbreak and to update them on the steps it was taking to protect supplies.
Tuesday, 11 February, the department wrote to all suppliers in scope of the Covid 19 supply response work – those trading from or via China or the EU – repeating the messages from the webinar and updating suppliers on the current situation relating to novel coronavirus.
The NHS has spare ventilator capacity and we are investing in further capacity.

Claim - Suggestion that ‘lack of grip’ had the knock-on effect of the national lockdown being introduced days or even weeks too late, causing many thousands more unnecessary deaths.

Response - The government started to act as soon as it was alerted to a potential outbreak. Mr Hancock was first alerted to Covid 19 on 3 January and spoke to Departmental officials on 6th Jan before receiving written advice from the UK Health Security Team. He brought the issue to the attention of the Prime Minister and they discussed Covid 19 on 7 January.

The government’s scientific advisory groups started to meet in mid-January and Hancock instituted daily meetings to grip the emerging threat. We have taken the right steps at the right time guided by the scientific evidence.

Claim - Scientists said the threat from the coming storm was clear and one of the government’s key advisory committees was given a dire warning a month earlier than has previously been admitted about the prospect of having to deal with mass casualties.

Response - The government followed scientific advice at all times. The WHO only determined that COVID 19 would be a global pandemic on 11 March. Claiming that there was scientific consensus on this is just wrong. Sage met on January 22 but the first NERVTAG meeting was held on 13 January (NERVTAG is the New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group – see here https://www.gov.uk/government/groups/new-and-emerging-respiratory-virus-threats-advisory-group ).

Claim - The last rehearsal for a pandemic was a 2016 exercise codenamed Cygnus, which predicted the health service would collapse and highlighted a long list of shortcomings — including, presciently, a lack of PPE and intensive care ventilators.

Response - The Government has been extremely proactive in implementing lessons learnt around pandemic preparedness, including from Exercise Cygnus. This includes being ready with legislative proposals that could rapidly be tailored to what became the Coronavirus Act, plans to strengthen excess death planning, planning for recruitment and deployment of retired staff and volunteers, and guidance for stakeholders and sectors across government.

Claim - By February 21 the virus had already infected 76,000 people, had caused 2,300 deaths in China and was taking a foothold in Europe, with Italy recording 51 cases and two deaths the following day. Nonetheless NERVTAG, one of the key government advisory committees, decided to keep the threat level at “moderate”.

Response - This is a misrepresentation of what the threat level is. This is about the current public health danger – and on February 21, when the UK had about a dozen confirmed cases, out of a population of over 66 million, the actual threat to individuals was moderate. In terms of the potential threat, the government was clear – on 10 February the Secretary of State declared that “the incidence or transmission of novel Coronavirus constituted a serious and imminent threat to public health”.

Sunday, 19 April 2020

Guest Blog 76

Musings of an Old PO

Ground Control to Major Tom < target operating model > "you're off course, directions wrong, can't you hear me Major Tom, can't you hear me.........planet earth is blue & there's nothing I can do."

Well if nothing else, CV19 has taught us that any sense that probation officers had of any "professional discretion or independence" in their role is dead. It's been eroded for 25 years from being a proper respected career to being a mere pawn on a chess board. It sucks putting professional decision on Ndelius when it's clearly not mine.


Ok I'm no fan of OASYS but sections 1-12 are a good way of gathering background & the RMP in parts has value, but really it needs a total overhaul as it's merely an over populated & time consuming imposition. Busy case managers rarely go to OASYS if you have to see people on the hoof. Most look on Ndelius to see what order/licence they are on, check a couple of risk boxes & the last few entries & off we go. 


Occasionally after completing an OASYS you might revisit it. More & more unnecessary words are required on every section to ensure it is up to quality. Does a good OASYS equal good engagement & supervision of a case? No. Do case managers regularly go back & refer to OASYS? I certainly don't until the next time I'm forced to cut & paste for an AP referral - don't get me started on that process.

What happened 4 weeks ago? Anybody know? Clue needed? Yes lockdown. Anyone in probation not know about it? No. So why, oh why, do we need to put two different imputs on Ndelius about it & then open OASYS & cut & paste a load of words on the top of the RMP, in contingency & then, most bonkers of all, add a sentence plan objective related to CV19? 


I don't know if the six figure salaried tin command crazies have been sat on their penthouse roofs drinking too many ciders, but do they have any understanding at all of how ridiculous this is when we are facing a major "human" crisis? Of course the human bit of the job does not really matter any more. If it's not on Ndelius or OASYS it's not real. Like teachers our job is in a straight jacket where innovation & creativity is lost. Often I feel like I'm treated like a pupil, a mere square root of my age.

Finally the "new" home visits! I want/need to drive to my cases homes, knock the door, distance or meet them in a space nearby & talk to them face to face. What is the point of sitting outside & talking on the phone to cases? They don't know and why two people and two cars except in exceptional circumstances against the guidelines of "is your journey necessary/essential." 


CV19 has created hero's & many tragedies but it has brought to the fore that we must force a change in the direction of organisation. If not, Probation as a profession is dead. Long live the tom.

Saturday, 18 April 2020

Latest From Napo 208

The following Bulletin 12 was sent to members late yesterday and can be found on the website:- 

Napo maintains pressure on CRC pay

Over the last few months Napo negotiators have achieved some important breakthroughs in our longstanding campaign to seek pay parity for our members employed in the Community Rehabilitation Companies. This has been a difficult task to say the least, and the levels of engagement between CRC employers and the unions have seen a mixture of positive outcomes alongside some very disappointing responses.

Below is a summary outlining what has been achieved so far:

SEETEC

SEETEC KSS CRC eventually made a pay offer at the turn of the year covering staff across all of their regions for 2020/2021. The offer followed a marked improvement in industrial relations between senior SEETEC Management and the unions and was a major factor in the offer being possible. This was in stark contrast to the attitudes and practices that were demonstrated by Working Links when they operated in the CRC areas that SEETEC took over in February 2019.

SEETEC KSS CRC were the first employer to declare that they were prepared to match the current NPS pay rates; a signal breakthrough for Napo in our long running campaigns to achieve pay parity across both arms of the Probation service. The offer tacitly recognised the need to motivate and retain existing staff and also make the company more attractive to potential employees. Indeed, within days of the pay offer becoming public, Napo learned of a number of employees from a neighbouring CRC leaving to take on better paid jobs with Seetec. General Secretary Ian Lawrence adds: “This should serve as a serious warning to all of Seetecs competitors or any would be bidders for new Probation Contracts.”

Union members subsequently voted by a huge majority to agree to the realignment of all salary bands to the current NPS Pay Scales. This resulted in 74% of the workforce receiving an increase of 4% or above, and 52% of the workforce receiving an increase of 5% or above.

While this settlement brought the pay dispute to a welcome end, the unions have reserved the right to make further representations if pay developments elsewhere warrant this.

Durham Tess Valley CRC.

The DTV CRC pay deal for 2020/21 and 2021/22 covers the remaining 15 months to contract end in June 2021, the pay deal provides a guaranteed minimum pay award of 6%, payable from April 2020 and assimilation onto the NPS pay scales. This means that the new pay scales will significantly reduce the time to progress through each pay band and the value of progression will be larger than in the current pay structure. Also, the offer guarantees each member of staff a minimum increase of 6% and some staff will receive a greater increase.

As this offer met our demand that the pay scales at DTV CRC are aligned to the NPS. Napo recommended acceptance of the pay offer and as a consequence Napo members voted overwhelmingly to accept the offer. The result of the ballot was 92% accept and 8% reject with a 50% turnout.

Sodexo

The Sodexo Pay Offer covers the six Sodexo CRCs (Northumbria, Cumbria & Lancashire, South Yorkshire, Essex, BeNCH and Norfolk & Suffolk). The pay offer covers the years 2020/21 and 2021/22 (contract end). This offer is for a two year pay deal and is being made following the work undertaken in previous years to modernise the pay structure so staff will reach the top of the scale within a much shorter timeframe.

The main terms of the offer are below:

2020/21 Pay Offer
2.5% Non-consolidated payment for those at the top of their pay band
A minimum pay increase for all other staff of 2.0%. For most this will be achieved through incremental progression however in instances where incremental progression is less than 2.0% a non-consolidated payment will be made.

2021/22 Pay Offer
2.5% Non-consolidated payment for those at the top of their pay band
A minimum pay increase for all other staff of 2.0%. For most this will be achieved through incremental progression however in instances where incremental progression is less than 2.0% a non-consolidated payment will be made.

Despite not meeting all the unions’ aspirations Napo and UNISON believe that this is the best deal achievable by negotiation taking into account the unique circumstances we find ourselves in because of the Covid-19 pandemic. Therefore, the unions did not make a recommendation to members and it is up to the members to decide. A ballot on the offer has been initiated and will conclude on the 27 April and members will decide to accept or reject the offer.

MTC

Pay talks commenced in February. The first session since the imposition of a pay award last year backdated to April 2019 which saw Staff moved up one spinal point and a non-consolidated payment of 1%, staff at the top of their scale received a 2% payment. The back pay element of the agreement was only relevant to basic pay not overtime or allowances.

The theme of disappointment continued as MTC declared that their ability fund a pay award for 2020/21 was challenging. Napo stated that if MTC want to invest in people, then they have to pay a going wage, otherwise this would impact on attrition rates in their CRCs in London and Thames Valley. It was noted that one of MTC competitors had put out a pay offer to match NPS pay banding. Napo also said that if MTC were among potential bidders for new contracts, the employer needed to do much better on pay.

Interserve

The unions have submitted our claim (CLICK HERE) and employer has provided us with pay data, but they haven't done the work to cost our claim. For this reason a meeting to discuss the claim was postponed from this week. It will now take place in the coming week.

WWM

Pay talks are still delayed and the unions are pressing for engagement to take place soon, but the unions have submitted the joint pay claim referenced below. A further update will follow once there is more news to report.

RRP

Pay discussions have got underway after a long delay, but have not got off to a good start with the employer claiming that the company are unable to fund an additional pay award beyond the cost of annual increments .

Napo and our sister unions are now consulting with members to test their views on a range of responses, but the next step will probably be an approach to the RRP Board to express members’ disappointment. Napo will also point out that if RRP see themselves as serious potential bidders for the intended Intervention and Programme Contracts from June 2020 they will be lagging seriously behind their likely competitors.

Friday, 17 April 2020

Offer Too Good to Refuse?

In the current crisis we've all got used to urgent calls for former NHS doctors and nurses to return and some police forces have issued similar 'calls to arms'. As noted here yesterday, it seems HMPPS also have urgent need for former staff:-

Received this morning, my letter from HMPPS shared services, inviting me to return to the Probation Service as a PO on temporary basis.

*****
[You] commented on the receipt of the letter offering a return to employment in HMPPS/NPS but omitted to mention the terms and conditions. Pay starts at midpoint, £31,421 for a PO and a former SPO can be slotted back in subject to the whim of the ACO. They are saving a fortune on what agency staff were being paid and still want to undercut the rate for the job. I think a retired SPO might struggle to assert their authority in the given situation unless they were found a back room number somewhere. It appears that other than in cash terms, former employees are being offered a ‘pick and mix,’ which gives them better conditions than those of us still up to our necks in the mud and bullets.

*****
I note the letters have only gone to staff ex-NPS. No experienced POs from CRCs have received a letter - at least none that I know of. Presumably not good enough to make the cut to NPS, so not required. Ever. Sweet.

*****
Does anyone have any thoughts to redeployment being used to fill the gaps in roles where they are short generally? Rather than about covid shortages specifically.

*****
All I will say, as a current NPS employee, is that if I had left I would not return for any reason. Those being redeployed or invited to return should refuse. It is not worth your while. The entire set up of management is piss poor, there is no long term strategy unless that which benefits the cowardice of kiss-ass middle managers (SPOs) and the self preservation of senior managers. In the current climate of Covid your health and safety will be put at risk, and despite the shite they are putting out in emails they are doing absolutely nothing to protect staff. I am ashamed to work in probation it grates me every day that I have to go along with how they are dealing with this.

*****
I wonder if we could all agree to come back for 3/6/9 months like they're asking, if they agree to honour current pay deal and ensure adequate PPE is provided to all. Bit of collective bargaining :-)

*****
They will lie and tell you whatever you want to hear. The promises will never be honoured. This is the way of probation management. It is better you do not return and then they may make a half reasonable effort to retain those that remain. Our plight has always been hindered by the army of temps probation relies on.

Thursday, 16 April 2020

Villain or Victim?

As the surreal nightmare continues and death-toll rises inexorably, in addition to the battle against the virus there's an information and PR battle going on. Mindful of the recent blog post 'Truth Doesn't Matter' here are two articles from yesterday that rather neatly illustrate the truth v emotion dilemma. This from the Guardian:-  

We scientists said lock down. But UK politicians refused to listen

For 11 fateful days in March, the government ignored the best coronavirus advice. It must learn from that mistake

In mid-February a colleague mentioned that for the first time in his life he was more concerned than his mother, who had been relatively blase about the risks of Covid-19. It felt odd for him to be telling her to take care. We are both professors in a department of infectious disease epidemiology, and we were worried.

Two months on, that anxiety has not gone, although it’s also been joined by a sense of sadness. It’s now clear that so many people have died, and so many more are desperately ill, simply because our politicians refused to listen to and act on advice. Scientists like us said lock down earlier; we said test, trace, isolate. But they decided they knew better.

Am I being unfair? The government assures us that its decisions and timing are based on science, as if it is a neutral, value-free process resulting in a specific set of instructions. In reality, the science around coronavirus is in its infancy and developing daily, with researchers across the world trying to understand how the virus spreads, how the body responds – and how to treat it and control it. The speed at which our knowledge has increased is impressive, from the sequencing of the virus in January through to having candidate vaccines in early February.

Mathematical models are being refined to predict the extent and speed of spread and estimate the impact of control methods. My own group is studying the response of communities, showing how the epidemic is amplifying existing social inequalities. People with the lowest household income are far less likely, but no less willing, to be able to work from home or to self-isolate.

But while scientists carry out observations and experiments, testing, iterating and discovering new knowledge, it is the role of policymakers to act on the best available evidence. In the context of a rapidly growing threat, that means listening to experts with experience of responding to previous epidemics.

When I say that politicians “refused to listen”, I am referring to the advice and recommendations coming from the World Health Organization, from China and from Italy. The WHO advice, based on decades of experience and widely accepted by public health leaders and scientists around the world was clear – use every possible tool to suppress transmission. That meant testing and isolating cases, tracing and quarantining contacts, and ramping up hygiene efforts.

The UK did well in the early phase, but then, on 12 March, the government alarmed many public health experts by abruptly abandoning containment and announcing that community case-finding and contact-tracing would stop. The aim was no longer to stop people getting it, but to slow it down while protecting the vulnerable.

The evidence underpinning the government’s decision appears in a report from 9 March summarising the potential impact of behavioural and social interventions. The report did not consider the impact of case-finding and contact-tracing, but it did suggest that the biggest impact on cases and deaths would come from social distancing and the protection of vulnerable groups.

And yet social distancing was not recommended then. That day, 12 March, after hearing with disbelief the government announcement that didn’t include widespread social distancing, I recommended to my team at Imperial that they should work from home for the foreseeable future. Indeed, I have not been to my office since.

Neither the advice nor the science were followed that week. My colleagues, led by Neil Ferguson, published a report on 16 March estimating that without strong suppression, 250,000 people could die in the UK. The government responded that day with a recommendation for social distancing, avoiding pubs and working from home if possible. But there was still no enforcement, and it was left up to individuals and employers to decide what to do. Many people were willing but unable to comply as we showed in a report on 20 March. It was only on 23 March that a more stringent lockdown and economic support was announced.

Between 12 and 23 March, tens, if not hundreds of thousands, of people will have been infected. Boris Johnson himself may well have been infected that week, and his stay in the intensive care unit may have been avoided if the government had shifted to remote working on 12 March. The current best estimate is that around 1% of those infected will die.

So where to now? Once again, public health experience, including modelling, leads to some very clear recommendations. First, find cases in the community as well as hospitals and care homes; isolate them, and trace their contacts using a combination of local public health teams and digital tools.

Second, know your epidemic. Track the epidemic nationally and locally using NHS, public health and digital surveillance to see where cases are continuing to spread. This will be essential so that we can start to lift the lockdown while shielding the population from hotspots of transmission. Build community resilience by providing local support for vulnerable people affected by the virus and the negative impact of the control measures.

Third, ensure transmission is suppressed in hospitals, care homes and workplaces through the right protective equipment, testing, distancing and hygiene. Investigate the differential effects on black and minority ethnic groups, and provide appropriate protection.

Fourth, ensure that the most vulnerable, socially and medically, are fully protected through simple access to a basic income, rights for migrants, and safety for those affected by domestic violence.

Many, including the Labour leader, Keir Starmer, say that now is not the time for blame. I am not looking to blame – but for scrutiny so that lessons can be learned to guide our response. We need to avoid further mistakes, and ensure that the government is hearing, and acting on, the best advice.

Helen Ward is professor of public health at Imperial College London

--oo00oo--

Now here's the thing. Each of us has to weigh-up the evidence and decide if Boris has/is doing a good job or not. Are more of us dying because of 10 years of Tory austerity cuts to the NHS, callous decisions, poor planning and f*cking Brexit, or just like Trump, is he doing a brilliant job in very trying times? 

We know the blame game has started and this astonishingly-fawning piece from the FT  confirms what many of us must be dreading, that the recent hospital stay has done wonders for Boris and his popularity. Of course there are those who are suspicious as to just how serious it all was and I see FOI requests have gone in to St Thomas' Hospital Trust, but I'm sure patient confidentiality will see that easily batted-off.     

Boris Johnson’s illness has made him more powerful

The UK prime minister’s brush with death has deepened his ties with voters

A strange thing happened last week. An awful lot of British voters discovered they were much more attached to Boris Johnson than they realised. Since Brexit, the UK prime minister has been a divisive figure, but his struggle with Covid-19 left all but his most partisan foes shocked, scared and desperate for news of recovery. One ex-cabinet colleague observed: “It reminded people of why they liked him when he was mayor of London.” 

In such times the country would be fearful for any leader, but Mr Johnson’s vitality made his brush with death more shocking. On news of his recovery, one newspaper seemed to forget the nearly 1,000 deaths that day, declaring on its front page: It “really is a Good Friday”. 

Mr Johnson was already a powerful premier with a particularly regal edifice around him — a court of close aides in Downing Street and a largely untested cabinet. Even so, before he got sick it was possible to see him politically undone by the crisis, not least over the laggardly response and early errors. 

Amid the confusion and strategy shifts, Tories were star-struck by the confident performance of the chancellor, Rishi Sunak. But Mr Johnson’s illness has augmented his authority. He may be recuperating for some time but no one now doubts where power resides. 

Critics will rightly question his stewardship of the crisis. They are right to be angry. The UK death toll may end up as the highest in Europe and there are issues around the availability of protective clothing for health workers. But his personal crisis has replenished his political capital and shown the absence of successors in his league when it comes to shaping public opinion. 

His gift for communication and political nous had long put him closer to voters than opponents would wish to admit. The emotional film released soon after he left hospital was superbly pitched. Since the Brexit campaign, he has allied himself with the National Health Service. Now, with his heartfelt praise for the organisation which “saved my life”, a Tory leader has made himself high priest of the institution, described as the UK’s national religion. 

True, even Winston Churchill’s political skills counted for little in the election after the second world war. But Mr Johnson has more than four years until he need face voters. The facts of the crisis may finally overcome sentiment but, if scapegoats are needed, he is unlikely to be among them. His courtiers are already scrambling to blame early mistakes on others, partly also to justify the drive for Whitehall reform. 

This moment raises him to a higher pantheon of leaders; those who enjoy a direct rapport with the public and who seem to exist at one remove from their cabinet, presiding over ministers who do their bidding. The failures will all be theirs; the success his. No more of this “first among equals” nonsense. Mr Johnson has worn many guises in his career. The political jester, the globalist and socially liberal mayor, the ardent Brexiter, the romantic populist, the British Gaullist and the Conservative leader running against his own party’s record on austerity. After the bitterness of Brexit, he has the chance to recreate himself again, should he wish.

How might he use this new status? We cannot know, but there are some solid bets. To deflect blame for shortages caused by austerity he will shower resources on the NHS and other services, not least social care. A hypothecated health tax, long resisted by the Treasury, may find its hour has finally come. He will champion British resilience in areas that have been shown to be crucial, notably pharmaceuticals, life sciences and medical supplies.

While focused on getting Britain back to business as normal, he will try to weave a narrative of a new social contract — perhaps addressing some of the inequalities most exposed by the crisis. But he will seek to harness the notion of national collective endeavour to ease the pain of the long economic recovery. If, as many in government expect, he needs to extend the Brexit transition, it will now be seen not as a recognition of reality but as an act of statesmanship. 

Another area for readjustment might be immigration, an issue on which Mr Johnson is instinctively more liberal than some of his allies. He will not abandon his points-based plan. But the recognition of NHS and social care workers from overseas, and the disproportionate death toll among those of immigrant origin, gives him room to soften the tone and erase its most pernicious aspects. 

A crisis that might have wrecked Mr Johnson looks set, through the misfortune of serious illness, to have strengthened him. His original agenda has been thrown off course but, as he plans the rebuilding that must follow, his bond with the public is deeper than ever.

Wednesday, 15 April 2020

Better Than Nothing

The whole thing is a bit clunky with pictures and sound of varying quality, but it's all we've got at the moment and better than nothing. Yesterdays's proceedings of the Justice Select Committee can be viewed here.

Clearly there was an audience out there:-

Just watching the session now and whilst Katie did well to deliver vast amounts of information, especially the notion of the EDM meaning more work, a lot was irrelevant to the subject the committee had been convened to address, i.e. "Coronavirus (COVID-19): The impact on prison, probation and court systems". Ian just about managed to raise the pay issue (rolls eyes). Maria Eagle led the witness into what could have been a healthy lead, but Katie missed her cue:

ME: EDM = more work, not less; that's surprising. In the circumstances, what's being done to ensure well-being of staff?

KL: Started talking about historical issues with overworked managers... great people in probation... cut to Maria Eagle looking frustrated...

Andy Slaughter asks about impact of early release scheme - in the knowledge of last week's comments that probation won't be seeing them - Ian refers it to Katie after welcoming the scheme... Katie answers fully & succinctly.

Ian then climbs onto his TR soapbox after a question about the future impact of COVID-19 upon the work of probation service providers, leaving Mr McCaskill & Bob Neill both looking perplexed.

IT WAS ABOUT COVID-19 - WHERE'S THE PPE? Arrrggghhh!!!

******
Prisons
Cases - 203 +ve cases & 13 deaths
Staff - 49+ve cases & 3 deaths

Probation
Cases - no data given, not even an apology for no data
Staff - no data given

Rees did say 2,000 are self-isolating of which 1,100 can work from home.

Testing - Cat.2 prisons & probation AP staff

What does Cat.2 mean?

Majority probation staff Cat.3 - what does that mean?

Bob Neill asks about PPE.

Lucy Frazer says "EDM limits face-to-face contact considerably... majority of probation work is not face-to-face... doubling amount of telephone contact"

Amy Rees - EDM hasn't increased work, but it has changed it - courts & groupwork has all but disappeared, but acknowledges contact levels have risen - seems non-plussed in general terms, quite happy.

No question about probation PPE.

Probation staff (except for AP staff) are Category 3, so unlikely to get tested let alone any PPE.

AP staff at Category 2 might get basic PPE packs (if they're lucky).

*** Can't find anything that relates to the criteria for staff Categories in respect of COVID-19 testing.

******
Thank you, Bob Neill, for asking the only question about PPE for probation staff today. I don't think the answer was very helpful but Bless You for asking. It was much appreciated.

--oo00oo--

As I think you can sense, I don't have anything new to offer today and in effect this is a 'holding' blog post for anything that might crop up and thus help try and prevent the comment thread from Sunday get ever longer and more convoluted. In an ideal world this would be the opportunity for some 'thought' pieces to emerge as Guest Blogs, but possibly like me, many of us just feel numbed by it all and simply concentrating on getting through each day healthy and symptom-free. Take care. 

Monday, 13 April 2020

Duty of Care

There's been much written about the situation in prisons over the last few days and especially regarding the failure to carry through with supposed plans for executive early releases. We hear of staffing shortages, construction of temporary cell blocks, infections and sadly deaths, but this from Inside Time last week is worth mentioning:-  

Beyond the Call of Duty

‘Beyond the call of duty’


Prisoners thank staff

When prisons moved to “lockdown” to curb the spread of coronavirus there were fears that it would lead to riots. Only a fortnight earlier, disturbances in Italian prisons sparked by anti-virus restrictions had left 12 prisoners dead.



But in the first week of UK prisoners being confined to their cells, there was little sign of trouble – and even an unexpected surge in goodwill. At jails across England, some prisoners wrote notes, drew pictures and made signs thanking officers for coming to work in the face of the health risk. At Low Newton, one prisoner put up a handmade sign in her cell window stating simply: “Thanks staff”. The prison posted a photo on social media and commented: “It’s great to see the women of Low Newton showing support for our staff, despite it being difficult and challenging time for them. We will get through this together.”

A handwritten letter from a prisoner at Nottingham, addressed “To all A wing staff”, read: “Now this is something I would never normally do. I’ve always looked at it as cons vs screws. But I give credit when credit is due. And since the restricted regime came in I feel A wing staff have gone above and beyond the call of duty.



“We as prisoners are sometimes very selfish and forget that behind the uniform there is a normal person who worry about there friends and family who risk getting COVID-19 every day they travel to work, but come in to work to look after us. Yes, you hold the keys to my freedom, but it was my own stupid actions that put me here and lost me my freedom. I want to say a big thank you to all A wing staff, even the ones I thought were shit screws, for getting up each morning and despite your own worries and fears, come in to work and help us prisoners to have time out of our cells and keep us updated and for treating us as equals. I have seen prison officers in a new light.”

Governors at the prison were so moved by the letter that they posted it on social media. The prison’s spokesman said “Staff were genuinely touched to receive this from a prisoner,” adding: “Had a little chuckle at the ‘shit screws’ comment.”


Nottingham was not alone. At Lowdham Grange, a prisoner wrote a note stating: “Big thank you officers of Lowdham ‘G’. If it wasn’t for you putting yourselves at risk to come and care for us, we would all be in trouble. You may feel unappreciated, but we appreciate you. So thanks again from K-wing inmates – me especially. God bless!”


And at Dovegate one resident wrote: “You should all be commended and recognised for the respectful and professional way you all have contributed to the smooth as possible running of HMP Dovegate. We recognise the selfless act of putting your own health at risk in the protection of others. Just turning up for duty is heroic and bravery of the highest order, crossed compassion and respect … On behalf of us that see your dedication to the care, safety, security and health of others, we stand to attention and salute you one and all.”

At HMP Humber, a prisoner drew a picture of an officer with the caption “Thank you HMP – stay safe”. The prison commented: “In amongst the clouds came a ray of sunshine. This beautiful picture was received yesterday and brightened our day.”

--oo00oo--

Meanwhile Rob Allen in his latest blog post muses on the whole thorny issue of oversight and accountability during times of crisis like this:- 

Quis custodiet ipsos custodes? Update on Scrutiny of Criminal Justice in a Time of Crisis

In these extraordinary times, everyone is having to adapt to the requirements of social distancing - not least the institutions that hold the authorities to account. There’s been much talk today of the need for Parliament to resume as soon and as effectively as possible. Although it’s in recess for another week - normally a period in which neither House meets to conduct business - work has continued not least in relation to criminal justice.

Four emergency Statutory Instruments (SIs) came into force last week; to allow prison governors to release prisoners temporarily; to allow those prisoners to be accommodated in Probation hostels and to access means tested benefits during the period of their release. The fourth enables the increased demand for electronic tagging to be met by a new provider – Attenti .

There was no opportunity for MPs to debate the measures – and disappointingly no impact assessments attached to the SI’s despite an assurance in the explanatory memoranda that there would be. The Justice Committee were however able to ask questions of Justice Secretary Robert Buckland and Prison and Probation Chief Jo Farrar on Tuesday. They concentrated on the early release provisions, asking for estimates of the numbers and rates of release, why low risk Category D prisoners were not being prioritised for release, whether all prisoners really need to be tagged.

The session seems to have formed part of a belatedly established inquiry into the impact of Coronavirus on prison probation and courts, announced on 31 March – three weeks after the Home Affairs Committee announced their inquiry into Home Office preparedness for Covid19. But at least the Justice Committee has been able to hold two meetings with Buckland and will question prison and probation minister Lucy Frazer this week.

As well as focusing on how probation is managing to operate in the current climate, Tuesdays’ hearing should also look at three questions that were neglected in last week’s meeting with Buckland.

The first is staffing. Prisons are really struggling with staff either sick or self-isolating. Some staff have been redeployed from HQ into jails and Operation Quickthorn could be activated to allow troops to backfill "non facing" roles . But under what circumstances would the military be involved, what exactly would they do and under whose authority. Could they assist probation as well?

The second question relates to the 500 new prison places being created, how they will be used and what physical conditions they will provide. There’s been concern expressed by reformers that expanding capacity in this way will mean that prisoners eligible for temporary release may be kept in prison instead and that the numbers freed will not reach the estimated 4,000 let alone the 15,000 reportedly recommended by Public Health England.

Third, the Justice Committee should ask about the work of the bodies charged with monitoring prisons and probation. Independent Monitoring Boards are continuing to monitor both prisons and immigration detention during the pandemic, though “much of this will necessarily be remote monitoring”. The Prison and Probation Ombudsman cannot read and reply to letters from prisoners who wish to make complaints. The PPO has also ceased all visits to prisons so their investigation of fatal incidents – including deaths of prisoners from Coronavirus is affected. They “will continue to be informed of all deaths and will open new investigations as normal, but it is likely that we will need to extend our timetables and/or suspend cases until we are able to gather information and investigate safely”.

Her Majesty’s Inspectorate of Prisons announced this week that they have created – in collaboration with HM Prison and Probation Service (HMPPS) and the Ministry of Justice -an adapted approach for the Coronavirus period, involving short scrutiny visits to prisons. These will focus on core issues such as healthcare, nutrition and hygiene; contact with families, friends and the outside world; legal rights; use of time and the need for meaningful human contact; support for those at risk of self-harm and suicide; and support and risk management for those being released.

What looks like a pragmatic approach from the Inspectorate received short shrift from the Prison Governors Association who consider that the visits are not needed and will put undue pressure on governors and their staff. Somewhat disturbingly, the PGA’s strongly worded response talked of the "fear of inspection"some of their members have, and the likelihood that no tangible benefits will result from any inspection report.

Whatever the Governors say, there is no doubt that some form of monitoring must take place. The UN and WHO have stated that monitoring bodies, should continue to have access to places of detention. The Council of Europe’s (CoE) Committee for the Prevention of Torture has said that monitoring by independent bodies remains an essential safeguard against ill-treatment. The question must be not whether inspection visits take place but how.

The CoE Commissioner for Human Rights argued this week that prisons need a humane and comprehensive crisis plan which should be formulated “in consultation and co-operation with relevant human rights stakeholders, in particular National Preventive Mechanisms, other independent monitoring bodies, national human rights structures and human rights NGOs”.

MPs should ask Miss Frazer whether this is the approach that is being adopted in England and Wales - as a concrete example, are the plans for new build accommodation being discussed in advance with inspectors to check they meet minimum standards?

This would indicate the kind of collaborative approach which is likely to serve the system best during the crisis and protect the health of those involved in it.



Rob Allen