As I continue to ponder on my own despair regarding current criminal justice policy, I see InsideTime are in despair at latest decisions by the MoJ in the prison estate that astonishigly undermine rehabilitation programmes:-
I want to start with a poem by Percy Bysshe Shelley, written in 1818. It is entitled ‘Ozymandias’ and describes a large stone in the Egyptian desert bearing an inscription from the great king Rameses II. It says “Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair”. It was Rameses intention that the city with magnificent buildings and monuments on which it was placed would last forever, and that all those passing by would be jealous of his fame. Yet this stone was just lying on the floor amongst ruins, the city having been worn down and destroyed by the baking sun and the sandstorms. Nothing remained.
I thought of that because there were great works within the prison system that are now lying in ruins, not because of sandstorms but because of the action of the Ministry of Justice’s own team of investigators, the National Framework for Interventions Panel. They did not take 2,000 years to tear down the structures, just a couple of days of sitting in an office, putting ticks and crosses into little boxes on a sheet of paper during a Teams meeting, and then pulling the plug and stopping hundreds of those in prison from having the chance to improve and progress. So here is why I despair.
Hard to believe
The Ministry of Justice have informed Inside Time that the highly praised rehabilitation course Time4Change that has run in Pentonville since 2019 has been scrapped. They tell us that it “does not meet the evidence standards required for approval” as an “intervention designed to reduce reoffending”. These are the same standards that led to the cancellation of the Sycamore Tree Restorative Justice scheme without any replacement being provided, a decision that was much-criticised by contributors to this paper.
The Ministry of Justice told us their “system provides a consistent and transparent process” to assess such schemes. We asked, as it was transparent, if we could interview someone who undertook this particular study and receive a copy of their points based assessment process to find out how they reached the decision but, despite the ‘transparency’, they refused to arrange an interview and told us to apply under Freedom of Information for the marks. That is not my understanding of transparency at all.
Time4Change was commended by Charlie Taylor, HM Chief Inspector of Prisons, when he issued an Urgent Notification for Pentonville in 2024. He called it “valuable” and praised the “experience and ability of the facilitators with this hard to engage age group of men”. In September 2024, Lord Hastings raised the scheme with Prisons Minister Lord Timpson in the House of Lords telling him: “I am attending a graduation for 100 young men in Pentonville along with men who have been through the Time4Change course and moved on to positive lives.” Lord Timpson responded: “I am always pleased to know of schemes like this that succeed in this all important task.”
A source close to the course told us that the assessors said that they wanted changes in the key role of psychologists which the course team feel would undermine the programme, and they would not run a third-rate version. It is in limbo unless the MoJ review their decision.
A modern history
The scheme was created in 2016 when a group of the men talked to CM Ricardo Lafuente-Dyer about how lockdowns could be avoided. It was arranged for Rapper Big Narstie to come in for a large gathering in the prison, and following that a series of one-off events was staged. CM Dyer then developed the concept with more activities.
In 2019 the first Time4Change course was run, for young adults, with debates, counselling, conversations about consent, knives, parenthood, and more. It was run by officers with specialist support, and changed the atmosphere on the wings. During COVID this was the only course that continued with face-to-face sessions, as it was considered essential. Funds were provided through charities approached by the Revd Jonathan Aitken, one of the prison’s chaplains, and also from the prison Governor’s discretionary budget. Courses ended with a graduation ceremony, with speakers with lived and life experience. Previous graduates came and acted as mentors.
Key staff were CM Lafuente-Dyer, officers Green and McCracken, and Jason Brown. CM Lafuente-Dyer was awarded the Butler Trust award for his work with young adults and in creating Time4Change, whilst officers Green and McCracken have just received community awards for their success in changing lives and making society safer. The MoJ says Time4Change does not meet its standards, but will not explain how they reached that view which is clearly not shared by others.
Because the MoJ assessors do not visit prisons – they “are too busy”, and just do a paper exercise – they did not meet anyone who had been through the course. They did not see Godfrey Poku, whose attendance in Time4Change turned his life around. He now teaches in a primary school, stopping children drifting into crime. The assessors also failed to meet the headteacher who gave Godfrey the post, and who attends the graduations. Godfrey says: “I cannot believe this is happening.” Mr Aitken told us: “I am astonished and appalled at this truly bad decision by the MoJ umpires.” He has seen every course and every participant.
The assessors did not talk with the other officers in the prison, who tell me whenever I visit that schemes such as Time4Change are exactly the sort of thing they joined the prison service to run. They did not meet the motivational speakers who join the graduation ceremonies to share their life experiences, many of whom spent time in prison and have moved on to either great success, or to leading happy and healthy lives outside.
They did not meet the families who attend the graduation. They did not speak with Nur, a young woman who was standing outside Pentonville looking lost at one graduation and who told me her brother was graduating. She said he had been excluded from school, got caught up in crime, was arrested with a knife, and sent to prison. Her parents were ashamed of him, but she knew how proud he was of taking Time4Change, and how proud she was of him. She has kept in touch. He now works for Transport for London as a Customer Assistant and is going to college. I told her of this decision. She says she will pray during Ramadan that this decision is overturned, and for those who will miss out on the chances her brother was given, and then accepted, to get a future.
They did not meet the father of the young man who played a classical improvisation on his violin and received a standing ovation from the 18-25-year-old men, or the mother who cried when her son performed a rap starting “I wish I had listened to my mum.” I cried too, as did everyone there. If they had met the families who come along, with children, they would have understood that this is an important part of the course as it reminds those in jail what they are missing and what they can go back to.
They would have seen the mutual respect and appreciation of those members of what Mr Taylor says is a “hard to involve group” and understood that this course not only impacts on the future lives of the graduates, but actually makes a difference to day to day life on the various prison wings, as people on the course mix together regardless of their previous postcodes and backgrounds. But they don’t visit. It is a paper exercise. And they will not talk about it with us.
If it was me
I love the Winter Olympics. If I were asked to judge the Ice Dance competition I would jump at the chance, even though I know nothing about it. But I would go and watch, not just stare at sheets of paper, and if my scores were different from those given by experts such as Torvill and Dean, I would question my judgement. Perhaps I gave too many points because it is so slippery out there.
Here, however, the judgements were made with absolute certainty. And regardless of what people like Charlie Taylor, who knows quite a bit about prisons, and Lord Hastings, who knows about rehabilitation, and Lord Timpson, who has it in his job description, think. Also they ignore what the students did, and how it impacts on the prison. I do not blame those who carried this out, but think they could explain. I blame the ridiculous system.
Look at Sycamore Tree. Its Restorative Justice sessions ran for 25 years around the country, so it would not have been hard for any assessors to get to one near them. The sessions featured victims of serious crime talking directly to those in prison about how crime has wider implications than just losing a few quid to a thief, or having stuff stolen from your home. One such victim, whose brother was beaten up by a gang and thrown into a pond where he drowned, told me that he felt his brother was with him when he walked into prisons, and that Sycamore Tree being scrapped killed his brother again. He knew he was steering people away from crime. I would not sleep if I was responsible for his renewed sorrow.
There is a long list of people who changed completely after Sycamore Tree, and dedicate their lives to stopping others from getting involved in criminality. That is not happening now as there was nothing better to replace it, thanks entirely to this exercise. It is clearly bringing down great schemes. That is the work of the Ministry of Justice, and I despair. And yet nobody will come forward and explain why it is a good thing.
You cannot assess anything properly on paper, you have to look at it to understand it. It is an academic exercise but it is all about people’s lives, futures, and chances in life. They should not be subject to a superficial analysis like some sort of cheap TV game show. I am sure those doing this work mean well, but this has to stop before other schemes are destroyed.
Final thoughts
Two last points, the first of which is a hope and expectation. I know CM Lafuente-Dyer will not run a third rate version of Time4Change, as it would betray the young men. However, I am certain he will want to produce something new that will meet their aspirations, as he did back in 2016. I know those who have been through the scheme, and the inspirational speakers who attended graduations, will help him. So something will come from this, and I trust the sad, dead, hand of the Intervention policy does not try and crush that.
The second is this. Perhaps this is not the story of Ozymandias with the crumbled stones. Perhaps this is the story written by Percy’s famous wife, Mary Shelley, who wrote Frankenstein. A side issue here; she finished that notorious tale in a house in Marlow in Buckinghamshire which still stands though it is now a number of small cottages. Years ago a friend of mine owned one of those properties, and so I spent a number of nights sleeping in the room in which Mary Shelley completed her horror story. That is of no importance at all, but I like to remember it once in a while.
Anyway, apologies for that pointless digression and back to Frankenstein. The doctor was an academic who put together a plan to create a living creature from various parts, but instead made a monster that went around destroying life and hope with wanton abandon. In the end, people got together with pitchforks and burning torches and drove both Frankenstein and his creation away. They vanished, never to be seen again.
Perhaps, metaphorically speaking, that could happen here. If enough people are angry over this academically-invented monstrosity of a scheme, administered by the National Framework for Interventions Panel, then they could make a fuss with metaphorical pitchforks and metaphorical burning torches. If anyone has a metaphorical pitchfork, I could provide some metaphorical matches. This monster must not harm any more lives.
--oo00oo--
As an aside and given the astonishing Green Party victory in Thursday's Gorton and Denton by-election, AI reminds us of their criminal justice policies:-
Key Criminal Justice Policies:
Prison Reform & Alternatives: Proposes a presumption against prison sentences of under two years, favoring community-based rehabilitation, especially for women and young people.
Sentencing & Courts: Advocates for a £2.5bn investment to repair the "crumbling" court system and reduce case backlogs.
Drugs Policy: Supports the decriminalisation of personal drug possession, focusing on harm reduction programmes, with leadership discussing the legalisation of all drugs.
Policing & Rights: Seeks to repeal the Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Act and the Public Order Act, which they argue restrict the right to protest.
Stop & Search: Calls for an end to routine stop and search and the use of facial recognition, citing disproportionate impact on Black and minority communities.
Victim Support: Promotes restorative justice to give victims a greater voice and help offenders take responsibility.
The Greens argue that many crimes are driven by poverty and austerity, advocating for investment in social services rather than building more prisons.
Not astonishing, just inevitable. The world's unerring shift right has led to what was once regarded as inspirational being labelled 'woke', 'weak' & 'unfair'.
ReplyDeleteThe ongoing limitations of the political mindset means 'rehabilitation' is achieved by imposing unpaid work; everything else is simply punishment, whether tagged & corraled in a defined space or banged up in gaol.
Superprison replaces supervision; retribution replaces rehabilitation; spite replaces compassion.
The 'labour' govt are pressing ahead with policies that any past tory govt would be proud of, while the current tories have moved to their new home on the far right.
meanwhile starmer has embraced la romeo as his head of the civil service, a (very) right-leaning vainglorious individual who believes in autocracy:
"“I’ve always thought leadership is a team sport, but certainly the challenges in the justice system of recent years have shown me that having a collaborative and resilient top team is essential to navigate through the most difficult crises.” - CSW feature, April 2025
"No-one joins the public sector for the pay, really – few people would. It’s for the purpose and the mission."
Q: Which historical, mythical, or contemporary figure would you most like to join you for a New Year’s Eve celebration?
A: “Thomas Cromwell, Henry VIII’s chief minister"
Cromwell, a potted history: "Cromwell established a de facto military dictatorship, governing with authority that led many to view him as a "regicidal dictator" and a repressive, autocratic ruler."
Maybe we'll have a new word in the coming months, 'starmicide'...
assuming we survive the next few weeks' of unfettered us & israeli warmongering
Deletebritish interests???
Deletehttps://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/pm-statement-on-iran-1-march-2026
oh, so thanks to starmer's overnight revelation, you can now add "uk" to the warmongers. And what happened within hours of the uk enjoining with us/israel in this illegal war? A drone attack on RAF Akrotiri.
"I want to be very clear: we all remember the mistakes of Iraq.
And we have learned those lessons."
Erm, nope, you haven't... you're just repeating them BUT this time you haven't had the courage to run it past parliament first.
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/management-oversight-policy-framework
ReplyDeleteThis policy framework sets out a minimum mandate of required activity for management oversight in sentence management, courts, unpaid work, approved premises, victim liaison units and national security division.
It provides an overview of operational guidance and tools which can be used to support staff in their professional autonomy when making oversight decisions outside of required activity.
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/probation-court-services-policy-framework
This policy framework will enable Probation Service staff exercising court related functions to:
see the end-to-end process of court related functions within criminal proceedings
understand the organisation of Probation court services, associated roles and responsibilities, and how the Probation Service can effectively liaise with criminal justice partners
quickly identify and better understand the key principles, and mandatory actions, that underpin the foundation of court service delivery
locate in a logical easily accessible manner relevant operational guidance, where required, with appropriate links to further resources
better understand sentencing options, to increase Probation Service staff and stakeholder confidence, and have access to support, training, awareness, and development materials for Probation Service staff performing court related functions
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/justice-transcribe
Total meetings summarised
Between 7 October 2025 and 12 February 2026, over 150,000 meetings were summarised using Justice Transcribe. This figure represents meetings where the
product was used to generate a meeting summary during the reporting period.
Illustrative time saving
Probation Workforce Transformation (PWT) within HMPPS has advised that, as a broad operational assumption, use of Justice Transcribe may save around 10 minutes per meeting. Applying this assumption to 150,000 meetings gives an indicative total of approximately:
• 1.5 million minutes
• 25,000 hours
Important: This is an illustrative estimate only. It is not a formal statistical estimate and does not account for variation in meeting length, meeting type, user practice or
summary quality.
Data source and limitations
The meeting count is derived from Justice Transcribe usage analytics.
So between 7 Oct 2025 & 12 Feb 2026 hmpps want you to believe justicetranscribe's own reckoning, i.e. that its saved the taxpayer 13 years' worth of time in four months - MIRACULOUS!!! Or utter bollocks? You decide...
BUT... there IS light at the end of that dark delusion... IF they can save 39 years' of time each year, THEN the 12% Probation Pay Claim should be an absolute fucking doddle to finance.
sorry, once more: "Between 7 October 2025 and 12 February 2026, over 150,000 meetings were summarised using Justice Transcribe."
DeleteHow widespread is this trial?
That's 37,500 meetings/month
or (assuming 20 working days/month)...
there were 1,875 meetings every day
and it *saved* 312 hours each day...???
That's 2 months' salary saved each day
Or... 480 months' salary saved each year
I'd go for way more than a 12% pay rise if I were you.
Vote Green!
ReplyDeletePrisons mostly warehouse and the most efficient thing they do is remove the POM's name off the Delius about 15 seconds after they've left the gate. Perhaps if it's completed within 5 minutes, they get a bonus? Otherwise prisons are great at hiding behind processes and guidelines that puts them in primacy and talking down to community probation as if we're just the chewing gum under the jackboot. Some are helpful, but many aren't and use the dark arts of responsibility shifting to maintain the status quo. It's all very tedious and unhelpful and usually means that community probation is dumped on to undertake all the intervention work the offender was supposed to in custody. The culture is rotten and needs changing and communiuty probation requires a modicum of dignity and autonomy back. Prisons would do well do take a leaf out of community probation's book about how to risk assess. Giving Damien Bendell a hammer and time in the workshop, when his index offence was brutally murdering four, three of whom were children, with a hammer is about as nose-on-the-end-of-your-face obvious about what not what to do, to then increase risk and lo and behold, he commits another brutal assault whilst in custody. At least community probation tend to risk assess more effectively even on a paucity of the budget and larger MOJ support afforded to prisons.
ReplyDeleteNo thanks, wolves in sheep’s clothing…….labour…..wolves in sheep’s clothing, Reform, wolves in sheep’s clothing, Lib Dem’s…..sheep in sheep’s clothing……now the Monster Raving Loony party may be worth a shot…..
ReplyDeletehttps://committees.parliament.uk/committee/102/justice-committee/news/211651/alarming-reduction-in-prison-education-provision-risks-jeopardising-prison-rehabilitation-justice-committee-warns/
ReplyDeleteA 25% national reduction in Core Education across prisons, revealed by the Government in its response to a Justice Committee report, ‘risks jeopardising’ rehabilitation efforts, MPs have warned.
Govt response?
“To ensure the service remains affordable and sustainable, we have had to make difficult decisions to focus the curriculum more effectively and are working closely with providers to maximise value for money. As a result, some reductions in the volume of Core Education delivered will be necessary from October 2025. We anticipate a national reduction of around 20–25%, subject to final analysis."
https://committees.parliament.uk/committee/102/justice-committee/news/210443/dire-prison-conditions-putting-rehabilitation-and-reoffending-reduction-at-risk-justice-committee-warns/
ReplyDeletePrison overcrowding, staffing shortages and deteriorating infrastructure is having a ‘profound impact on the ability of prisons to deliver rehabilitation’, a new report published today (November 14) by the Justice Committee has said.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/deputy-prime-minister-sets-out-vision-for-the-justice-system
ReplyDelete"Speaking at the Microsoft AI Tour at the Excel Centre in London, David Lammy presented his vision for the future of the court system that will deliver faster and fairer justice for victims by combining investment, reform, and modernisation.
We inherited a justice system on the point of collapse in every arena and it falls to us to fix it. To reform the justice system so that it can react… "
When you inherit or take over a government department, you tend to already know it's in bad need of reform or not. If you're in opposition, you start your game plan to improve things before being elected- each department has a shadow opposition minister to buffer the elected office's mistakes and keep them to account. Now blaming it on the previous administration when you've been in office for hot minute and having known about it in previous office as a shadow minister (not Lammy, specifically, but one of his colleagues) is just woolly excuse making and is a convenient way of not dealing with the problems and challenges or, in several ways, making things worse.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2026/2/enacted
ReplyDeleteIts here! Plenty to get yer chops around...
Offenders of particular concern
7 - Special custodial sentence for certain offenders of particular concern: England and Wales
* The word "terrorist" is replaced by "certain"... opens the doors to allow for a whole new raft of "offender"
________________________
Part 3 - Offences involving or connected with a threat to national security (braverman would be proud)
________________________
13 - Rehabilitation activity requirement renamed probation requirement
14 - Driving prohibition requirement:
15 - Public event attendance prohibition requirement
16 - Drinking establishment entry prohibition requirement
17 - Restriction zone requirement
18 - Power to add or alter requirements
________________________
25 - Release on licence of certain violent or sexual offenders: service offences
26 - Limitation of provisions about home detention curfew
27 - Licence conditions
29 - Power to make provision about recall to prison
32 - Further release after recall: other offenders eligible for automatic release
34 - Repeal of provisions relating to supervision after end of sentence
_______________________
36 - Removal of maximum period for unpaid work requirement
38 - Termination of community order
39 - Termination of supervision period of suspended sentence order
_______________________
42 - Imprisonment or detention for public protection: termination of licences
A reduction in anything in custody will result in only one thing, a summer of custodial instability.
ReplyDeleteIn order to stop this however simple economics is required.
Pay probation staff an increase of 10% immediately with a further 2% uplift in November as you can let anyone out but not anyone can supervise them like probation can !
https://www.mountfordchambers.com/sentencing-act-2026-what-you-need-to-know/
DeleteI asked Ai 'how might the use of Ai in Probation make matters worse, many of its answers are already familiar i think......
ReplyDelete'Increased workload, not less
AI is often sold as a time-saver—but in practice it can do the opposite.
Examples:
Officers must justify decisions that contradict AI scores.
More alerts → more reports → more defensiveness.
Parallel systems where staff must feed data into AI and legacy systems.
Encourages fewer face-to-face meetings.
Pushes officers into data entry and monitoring rather than engagement.
Turns supervision into box-ticking driven by alerts and dashboards.
This risks burnout, lower morale, and higher staff turnover.
The biggest danger may not be the technology itself, but how it’s used by policymakers.
AI can be used to:
Justify higher caseloads (“the system supports decision-making”)
Reduce training and experience requirements
Replace professional discretion with cheaper automation
In that scenario, AI doesn’t support probation—it hollows it out.
In short
AI could make probation worse if it:
Overrides professional judgement
Reinforces bias
Reduces human contact
Increases bureaucracy
Enables cost-cutting over care
Shifts accountability away from humans
Used badly, it risks turning probation from a skilled, relational public service into a risk-management machine.
Evening Standard
ReplyDeleteShaun Wilson
Sun, 1 March 2026
Soham killer Ian Huntley was bludgeoned with a metal pole in an "unbelievably savage attack" as he bent over to tie some string on a recycling crate, witnesses have said.
Huntley, 52, remains in an induced coma after he was struck up to 15 times by triple killer Anthony Russell, 43, at HMP Frankland in County Durham.
Inmates "knew the attack was coming" and talked about it the night before, The Sun on Sunday reports.
Huntley has so far defied medics' expectations by surviving the brutal attack but his mother Lynda has told friends he is "unrecognisable" due to his injuries.
The violence unfolded during a recycling workshop just after 9am on Thursday, leaving Huntley with a broken jaw, brain and skull injuries while being hooked up to a ventilator.
An insider said: “The attack was unbelievably savage – more savage than has so far been reported.
“It is astonishing that Huntley is still alive. He was bending down tying some string onto a recycling crate when he was first hit – so was in a position like you’d be in when tying your shoelaces.
“A lot of inmates knew an attack was coming, and some were talking about it the night before.
“But none of the prisoners there helped. They just watched it happen and it was staff who stepped in – but not before the attacker had inflicted some really severe damage."
According to reports, triple killer Russell allegedly shouted “I’ve done it, I’ve done it” and has since shown no remorse over the attack.
On Saturday morning, Durham Constabulary said there had been no change in Huntley’s condition.
A spokesperson said: “The 52-year-old man remains in hospital in a serious condition, there have been no changes overnight.”
Former caretaker Huntley killed 10-year-olds Holly Wells and Jessica Chapman after they left a family barbecue to buy sweets in Soham, Cambridgeshire, on August 4 2002, then dumped their bodies in a ditch.
Russell was sentenced to a whole life tariff in 2021 for the murders of Julie Williams, 58, and her son David Williams, 32, at separate flats in Coventry, and pregnant 31-year-old Nicole McGregor, who was found in woodland near Leamington Spa three days later.
Russell also raped Ms McGregor.
Thursday’s assault was the latest attempt on Huntley’s life and he was thought to have been kept under close observation to prevent similar attacks.
In 2010, robber Damien Fowkes slashed him with a home-made weapon, causing a “severe, gaping cut to the left side of his neck” with a 7in (18cm) wound which required 21 stitches.
Fowkes asked a prison officer: “Is he dead? I hope so.”
He described Huntley as a “notorious child killer, both inside prison and in society in general”.
Huntley is serving a life sentence with a recommendation that he serves at least 40 years for the Soham murders.
I doubt huntly had any real protection. The anger in jails always finds a conduit to outrage. The attacker himself has an appalling record mixing these types together is a well known don't in prison world. Let's not forget the brutal murder in Feltham the subject of major prison officer corruption. I doubt there will be too much analysis for this murderer or concern.
Deletehttps://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-politics/2026/03/the-probation-system-is-failing-women
ReplyDelete
DeleteThe probation system is failing women
Unable to trust restraining orders, some victims are tracking down their own abusers
By Rhi Storer
Natalie* looks defiant on screen, pushing strands of blonde hair behind her ear as she recalls the night she tracked down her own abuser.
She suffered more than two decades of sustained abuse from her former partner: strangulation, rape and the stalking of her teenaged son outside his school gates. The police had been looking for him for four months. The Probation Service, meanwhile, made no contact with Natalie at all, and failed to act on repeated breaches of her abuser’s licence conditions.
The police already knew who he was. They knew Natalie’s ex-partner was stalking her 15-year-old son. When Natalie reported it, four months before, they assured her they would find him. “Nobody got back to me,” she said. “They said they couldn’t get in touch with him. They couldn’t find him. It was about a five-week turnaround before they got back to me.” Her restraining orders, she said, were “not worth the weight of the paper”. She grew tired of waiting.
So when she spotted him through the glass front of a restaurant, where his friend had quietly given him work, she decided to do the police’s work for them. She parked where she couldn’t be seen, in a London street, and watched him. She called 999. “I took it upon myself. I said, you’re looking for this guy. I know where he is. He’s here now. I’m going to stay where I am until you turn up.
Forty minutes later, two police cars and a van arrived. When officers entered the restaurant he ran, tables overturning, customers scattering. He was handcuffed and taken away screaming. “I was relieved,” she says, quietly. “But the panic and the fear thinking he was going to know it was me.” But he was released days later. Natalie says she was only told afterwards. No one from the police or probation ever acknowledged that she had done their job for them.
The Probation Service’s collapse has been documented in parliamentary committees and coroners’ courts, but the women affected remain largely invisible. The men the service is meant to supervise are not passive. They are, as Natalie knew better than anyone, strategic. They are experienced at performing compliance, at attending the courses, passing the assessments and walking out to harass all over again. Natalie’s former partner was required to attend an anger management course as part of his probation supervision. He attended, passed, and then he breached the restraining order protecting Natalie approximately 20 times. Each breach was reported. Each time, nothing happened.
contd
In early February, a Public Accounts Committee (PAC) report found that probation officers adequately assessed risk in just 28 per cent of cases in 2024, down from 60 per cent in 2018-19. Serious further offences committed by people under probation supervision, those categorised as rape or murder, rose 55 per cent between 2020-21 and 2023-24. Despite this, the report concluded that both the Ministry of Justice and HM Prison and Probation Service (HMPPS) had been “reluctant to accept responsibility for the service’s poor performance”
DeleteA Ministry of Justice source told the New Statesman: “The Tories’ failed experiment with privatising probation caused lasting damage across the service. Given that the 55 per cent increase in Serious Further Offences categorised as rape or murder between 2020-21 and 2023-24 occurred when the Conservatives were in office, it is for them to explain the circumstances which led to it.”
The government’s answer to a probation service that cannot find the people it is meant to supervise is to tag 22,000 more of them. The announcement, made by the Ministry of Justice and the Home Secretary, Shabana Mahmood, in September 2025 under the government’s plan for change, is claimed to be the biggest expansion of tagging since the introduction of curfew tags in 1999.
The government maintains a list of accredited programmes for dealing with reoffending, including three domestic violence interventions. Structured around cognitive-behavioural techniques, they aim to make men understand why they are violent, reduce the risk factors linked to that violence and develop what the government’s own documentation calls “pro-social relationship skills”. Two of the three national programmes for domestic violence programmes are marked “no longer delivered”. The government’s own page has not been updated since May 2022.
These programmes operate on the assumption that men who abuse can be made to confront what they have done, to understand it and to change. In many cases, the programmes work. An evaluation of domestic abuse perpetrator programmes in England and Wales found significant reductions in physical and sexual violence reported by women 12 months after the men began the programme. One statistic stands out: the proportion of women who said they had been slapped, punched or had something thrown at them fell from 87 per cent at baseline to 7 per cent at follow-up.
contd
But aggregate success obscures a harder truth: some men attend purely instrumentally, particularly those motivated by child contact rather than genuine change. Everyday coercive behaviours, such as intimidation, humiliation, belittling, financial control, were more persistent and harder to change. Natalie saw this. “He knew the system,” she says of her former partner. “He knew how to work his anger management course. He knew how to get people on side.”
DeleteA probation officer employed by HMPPS, speaking on condition of anonymity, describes a service so overwhelmed that meaningful supervision had become almost impossible. “You simply don’t have the time to do anything other than very brief contacts and almost superficial check-ins with people.”
When Natalie’s ex-partner breached his licence conditions, the process of returning him to prison did not begin and end with a probation officer. A worker would first need to flag the breach to a line manager, who would agree to a potential recall, which would then pass to a senior manager, and then to the Ministry of Justice, which held the power to authorise it.
“That’s part of the frustration for probation staff,” the officer says. “In many of those situations we are in contact with people who have been recalled, and we’re feeding information to the police about where the person is, but there are also pressures on the police to pick them up.”
Gwen Robinson, part of the Rehabilitating Probation Project Team, traces the damage to 2014, when Chris Grayling, then the Conservative justice secretary, split the service between privatised Community Rehabilitation Companies and the public sector. “It was summed up really well by a practitioner who described it as an unwanted divorce,” Robinson said. “Literally nobody wanted that reform.”
When the government renationalised the service in 2021, it did so without reliable data on staffing levels or workload. The PAC report found that HMPPS had been operating with just half the number of sentence management staff required – a deficit nobody had noticed until 2024.
The PAC report published in February does not mention victims once as a category of people the probation service exists to protect. Its metrics measure timeliness of appointments, employment rates of offenders at six months post-release, recall numbers. Nowhere in its 27 performance targets is there a measure for whether women like Natalie were kept safe.
A Ministry of Justice spokesperson said: “Every victim deserves to feel safe, and we are determined to put them at the heart of a justice system that for too long has let them down. We have committed to a £700m uplift in annual probation funding, are recruiting 1,300 probation officers and investing in new technology that will cut a quarter of a million days’ worth of admin – ensuring staff can focus on reducing reoffending and protecting the public.”
Today, Natalie lives differently. The Ring doorbell is sometimes switched off. She does not answer calls from numbers she doesn’t recognise. She hesitates and checks before she opens her front door. She looks over her shoulder on the street. “This is how I live,” she says. “I really believe probation services are under the delusion that these people change, and they don’t. For these types of people, abusers, it doesn’t work. They don’t change.”
"I really believe probation services are under the delusion that these people change, and they don’t." - Natalie, victim of persistent coercive behaviour & domestic abuse.
Delete* The Probation Service’s collapse has been documented in parliamentary committees and coroners’ courts, but the women affected remain largely invisible.
* In early February [2026], a Public Accounts Committee (PAC) report found that probation officers adequately assessed risk in just 28 per cent of cases in 2024
* Serious further offences committed by people under probation supervision, those categorised as rape or murder, rose 55 per cent between 2020-21 and 2023-24.
* Despite this, the report concluded that both the Ministry of Justice and HM Prison and Probation Service (HMPPS) had been “reluctant to accept responsibility for the service’s poor performance”
* A probation officer employed by HMPPS, speaking on condition of anonymity, describes a service so overwhelmed that meaningful supervision had become almost impossible.
* Gwen Robinson, part of the Rehabilitating Probation Project Team, traces the damage to 2014, when Chris Grayling, then the Conservative justice secretary, split the service... "an unwanted divorce,” Robinson said. “Literally nobody wanted that reform.”
* When the government renationalised the service in 2021, it did so with... a deficit nobody had noticed until 2024.
* A Ministry of Justice source told the New Statesman: “The Tories’ failed experiment with privatising probation caused lasting damage across the service... We have committed to a £700m uplift in annual probation funding, are recruiting 1,300 probation officers and investing in new technology that will cut a quarter of a million days’ worth of admin"
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"part of the Rehabilitating Probation Project Team" - the irony is beyond parody!!
https://rehabilitating-probation.org.uk/
Delete"a three-year (2022-2025) ESRC funded research project that aims to examine the implementation, experiences and consequences of a significant and unprecedented programme of public service reform that has brought formerly outsourced probation services back into the public sector."
https://rehabilitating-probation.org.uk/our-research/articles/project-article-policing-the-partnership-structural-change-organisational-legitimacy-and-police-evaluations-of-probation-in/
https://rehabilitating-probation.org.uk/our-research/articles/project-article-constrained-voice-and-complicated-loyalty-understanding-reasons-to-leave-or-stay-working-in-the-probation/
https://rehabilitating-probation.org.uk/our-research/articles/project-article-lessons-for-public-management-from-the-insourcing-of-probation-services/
Adding insult to injury it was announced a short while ago that MP’s are to get a 5% pay rise effective 1 April! Talk about taking the P!
ReplyDeleteThe Independent Parliamentary Standards Authority (IPSA) announced that MPs will receive £110,000 by 2029 as they face increasing levels of abuse and bigger workloads
DeleteThe reasoning is 'more abuse and bigger workloads' eh? Crikey, thank God we haven't suffered that for years....
Should have asked the Lawrence idiot to put that on the pay claim perfectly legitimate grounds and can be measured.
DeleteI think they deserve more than 5%. What hope have we got of a decent pay rise if MPs are only getting 5%. Think about it. We should always campaign for higher pay rises for all.
Deletecheck out lammy at pmq's today; think he must have had something special going down in his 'buds... looks like he was on one helluva groove while starmer was bleating & throwing us under the us/israel bus.
ReplyDeleteThat reads anti Israeli if this country was landlocked on 3 sides with a partial fence in the west bank and surrounded by muslim faith sworn to destroy the people you might want be an allie of trump . Just saying.
DeleteSo, *everything* that isn't fawning over or pro-israel is "anti-israeli" ? Pointing out that lammy's enjoying himself at pmq's is anti-semitic, is it? If this country was razed to the ground by an occupying force from a neighbouring country, with movement restrictions on every street, the risk of arrest or being shot imminent, no food, no medicines, people forced to march hundreds of kilometers with their worldly goods in a wheelbarrow every month... but this ain't the forum for this so I'll leave it there & Jim can delete as he sees fit.
DeleteStaggering you have a view and opinions based on knowledge perhaps. I have some experience in the middle east and expectations are very different. Some of what you described is this country . Northern Ireland suffered awfully and the conduct is still being fought over. Bottom line is since the massacre attack along with years of atrocities on civilians some of those in control have had enough and perhaps leveling off the scores a bit. It's the nature of people .
DeleteWhilst it is good to keep an eye on global conflict is there any point in arguing about the Middle East on a Probation blog. It just sounds like two somewhat misinformed old gits having a swing at each other. Pack it in. It’s boring.
ReplyDeleteas previously stated: "this ain't the forum for this so I'll leave it there & Jim can delete as he sees fit."
DeleteFrom Unison website today:
ReplyDeleteA large majority of members have voted to reject the 4% pay offer from His Majesty’s Prison and Probation Service (HMPPS) and indicated a willingness to vote for industrial action.
Final voting figures:
58.7% of UNISON members voted in the ballot
89.4% voted to reject the pay offer
10.6% voted to accept the pay offer.
UNISON’s probation committee met yesterday (Monday) and agreed to ask HMPPS to return to urgent pay talks to improve the pay offer and to register a formal trade dispute.
Disappointed only 58% of unison members even voted but heartened by their no to the pay offer. As a side note, have unison been pushing / having meetings with members around the pay talks and wider issues?
ReplyDeleteRather than going on strike, could the Unions not promote a 'sick note Monday' whereby, on a chosen Monday, all staff are encouraged to go to their GP and get a 1 month sick note?
ReplyDeleteResult: Staff still 'down tools' for a month but don't lose any wages like they would with going on strike.
Genuine question.
Yea course it is like anyone can get an appointment and beside first 4 days is self cert no wonder you get rubbish pay offers if this is the level of intellect .
DeleteIt's 7 days, at least be accurate if you're trying to give the impression of being more intellectually rigorous...
Delete58% turnout isnt that bad, compared with many elections and by elections at all levels of government. And the Tory-led erosion of Union power has its intended effect. As has been frequently pointed out, the bar for a bunch of workers to decide to take industrial action is higher than for Brexit
ReplyDeletehttps://www.peoplemanagement.co.uk/article/1950246/trade-union-reforms-changes-aware
DeleteDid GMB ever bother to count or publish the results of their members ballot on the pay offer after failing to even give a view on it? Can't be that many to sift through surely. What are they doing?
ReplyDeleteI was wondering when we would hear from them.
Delete